Shabab Al-Ahli vs Al Ain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/09/2025 at 09:25 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Rashid Stadium (Dubai).

UAE League - Round 5
Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	HOY TV
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, ADtv, Dubai Sports 1
World	Triller TV+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.01	1.06
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
21	10
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	6
Passes
85% (307/361)	80% (230/289)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01	1.06
xG on target (xGOT)
0.56	0.29
Total shots
21	10
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked Shots
9	2
Shots inside the Box
11	5
Shots outside the Box
10	5
Hit the Woodwork
2	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
31	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
22	7
Passes
85% (307/361)	80% (230/289)
Long passes
53% (25/47)	43% (21/49)
Passes in final third
78% (110/141)	61% (45/74)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.01	0.86
Throw-ins
23	15
Fouls
7	22
Tackles
75% (6/8)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
51	37
Clearances
16	31
Interceptions
6	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.29	0.56
Goals prevented
-0.71	-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Park Yong-Woo 🟨,
18', Park Yong-Woo ↓, Ben Khaleq Y. ↑,
43', Traore A. K. 🟨,
44', Rabia R. ↓, Ratnik M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rahimi E. H. ↓, Nader Y. ↑,
52', Gomes I. 🟨,
53', Eisa K. 🟨,
71', 0 - 1, Kaku ⚽,
73', Dabbur M. ↓, Azmoun S. ↑,
83', Ezatolahi S. ↓, Breno ↑,
83', Mateus Henrique ↓, Rikelme ↑,
84', Yuri Cesar ↓, Al Mansouri M. ↑,
86', Erik Menezes ↓, Vila R. ↑,
87', Kaku ↓, Jasic A. ↑,
90+5', Azmoun S. (Pen),
90+6', Niang A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Shabab Al-Ahli
40.4%

Draw
27.1%

Al Ain
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

25.5%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

25.5%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Al Ain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Ain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Ain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.53)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	2.85 ↑ (2.4)	7.6% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Al Ain will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al-Ahli won 2.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Shabab Al-Ahli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al-Ahli won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Shabab Al-Ahli won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.8:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Shabab Al-Ahli won against Al Ain?

Shabab Al-Ahli has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al Ain won against Shabab Al-Ahli?

Al Ain has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain were as follows:

07.04.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain 0:0

10.01.2025 Al Ain - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:1

27.04.2024 Al Ain - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:2

26.11.2023 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain 0:3

01.04.2023 Al Ain - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:1

Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli

20.09.2025 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:1 ✺

16.09.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Tractor Sazi 1:1 ✺

11.09.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Bani Yas 1:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Al-Wahda - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Dhafra 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Al Ain

20.09.2025 Al Ain - Khor Fakkan 3:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Al Wasl - Al Ain 1:1 ✺

05.09.2025 Ittihad Kalba - Al Ain 0:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Al Ain - Ittihad Kalba 1:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Dibba Al Fujairah - Al Ain 2:3 ✺

UAE Football League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ain	18	13	5	0	38:16	22	44
2	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	17	13	3	1	38:5	33	42
3	Al Wahda	17	9	6	2	28:14	14	33
4	Al Jazira	18	9	4	5	28:16	12	31
5	Al Wasl	17	8	6	3	21:16	5	30
6	Al Nasr	18	5	8	5	22:23	-1	23
7	Ajman	18	7	2	9	19:24	-5	23
8	Ittihad Kalba	18	5	5	8	19:28	-9	20
9	Khorfakkan	18	5	4	9	26:33	-7	19
10	Al Dhafra	18	5	3	10	24:37	-13	18
11	Al Sharjah	17	5	2	10	22:32	-10	17
12	Bani Yas	17	4	2	11	16:30	-14	14
13	Dibba Al Fujairah	17	3	4	10	16:32	-16	13
14	Al Bataeh	18	3	4	11	17:28	-11	13

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Division 1