Shabab Al-Ahli vs Al Ain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Rashid Stadium (Dubai).

UAE League - Round 20
Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, Dubai Sports 1, Maraya

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	0.87
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
8	14
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	8
Passes
79% (234/298)	81% (349/431)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	0.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.22	0.36
Total shots
8	14
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
4	8
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
4	8
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	8
Touches in opposition box
16	26
Through passes
100% (1/1)	100% (1/1)
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
11	9
Passes
79% (234/298)	81% (349/431)
Long passes
35% (14/40)	46% (28/61)
Passes in final third
69% (91/132)	65% (78/120)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.43	0.85
Fouls
9	11
Tackles
77% (10/13)	63% (12/19)
Duels won
44	46
Clearances Total
42	24
Interceptions
18	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.36	0.22
Goals prevented
0.36	0.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Kauan Santos 🟨,
9', Ezatolahi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Yuri Cesar ↓, Al Ghassani Y. ↑,
59', Breno ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
68', Palacios M. ↓, Hazim Mohammad ↑,
72', Mateusao ↓, Dabbur M. ↑,
72', Kauan Santos ↓, Gomes I. ↑,
80', Cardoso F. ↓, Hashemi K. ↑,
80', Nader Y. ↓, Mohammed B. ↑,
89', Garcia D. 🟨,
90+1', Mateus Henrique ↓, Abaelaziz B. ↑,
90+2', Hazim Mohammad 🟨,
90+3', Kaku ↓, Komari D. ↑,

Chances of winning

Shabab Al-Ahli
57%

Draw
22.4%

Al Ain
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.2%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

23.7%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shabab Al-Ahli's performance.

Al Ain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.79)	4.11 ↑ (3.83)	4.48 ↑ (3.87)	8.7% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al Ain (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Shabab Al-Ahli will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Shabab Al-Ahli won 2.
Recent matches Shabab Al-Ahli is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Al Ain has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Shabab Al-Ahli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
In this match Shabab Al-Ahli is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Shabab Al-Ahli won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 26:33 (average 1.3:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Shabab Al-Ahli won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:18 (average 0.9:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Shabab Al-Ahli won against Al Ain?

Shabab Al-Ahli has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al Ain won against Shabab Al-Ahli?

Al Ain has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain were as follows:

10.01.2025 Al Ain - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:1

27.04.2024 Al Ain - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:2

26.11.2023 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain 0:3

01.04.2023 Al Ain - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:1

06.03.2023 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain 0:2

Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli

02.04.2025 Al Wasl - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:1 ✺

28.03.2025 Al-Sharjah - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:0 ✺

23.03.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Sharjah 2:2 ✺

18.03.2025 Al-Sharjah - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:3 ✺

12.03.2025 Al-Sharjah - Shabab Al-Ahli 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Al Ain

29.03.2025 Dibba Al-Hisn - Al Ain 3:2 ✺

20.03.2025 Al Ain - Aston Villa 1:3 ✺

27.02.2025 Al-Wahda - Al Ain 2:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Al Wasl - Al Ain 1:0 ✺

17.02.2025 Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al Ain 2:0 ✺

UAE Football League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	26	19	6	1	57:22	35	63
2	Al Sharjah	26	16	3	7	44:22	22	51
3	Al Wahda	26	13	9	4	51:32	19	48
4	Al Wasl	26	13	7	6	51:35	16	46
5	Al Ain	26	12	8	6	56:32	24	44
6	Al Nasr	26	11	5	10	45:45	0	38
7	Al Jazira	26	10	7	9	45:40	5	37
8	Khorfakkan	26	9	6	11	41:52	-11	33
9	Ittihad Kalba	26	8	8	10	39:38	1	32
10	Ajman	26	9	4	13	40:46	-6	31
11	Al Bataeh	26	7	6	13	30:45	-15	27
12	Bani Yas	26	7	6	13	30:53	-23	27
13	Dibba Al Hisn	26	4	4	18	29:56	-27	16
14	Al Urooba	26	4	1	21	24:64	-40	13

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Division 1