Al-Jazira vs Shabab Al-Ahli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/01/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium (Abu Dhabi).

UAE League - Round 11
Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	ADtv
World	Triller TV+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.15	1.79
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
5	15
Shots on target
2	7
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
1	1
Passes
84% (342/409)	86% (424/493)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.15	1.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.07	2.61
Total shots
5	15
Shots on target
2	7
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
3	10
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
1	1
Touches in opposition box
12	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
84% (342/409)	86% (424/493)
Long passes
45% (19/42)	59% (35/59)
Passes in final third
61% (46/75)	80% (116/145)
Crosses
44% (4/9)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.33	0.64
Throw-ins
16	18
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
64% (9/14)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
42	44
Clearances
18	19
Interceptions
4	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
2.61	0.07
Goals prevented
-0.39	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Al Hammadi K. 🟨,
34', Elneny M. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Adil S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 2, Yuri Cesar ⚽, Guilherme (A),
55', Adil S. ↓, Mateusao ↑,
55', Al Mansouri M. ↓, Cartabia F. ↑,
60', Ndiaye M. ↓, Bougma A. ↑,
60', Geusens J. ↓, Al Memari A. ↑,
62', Rabii M. 🟨,
71', Ezatolahi S. ↓, Breno ↑,
72', Yuri Cesar ↓, Al Ghassani Y. ↑,
73', Vukic N. 🟨,
73', Al Attas M. ↓, Lagrimi I. ↑,
73', Rabii M. ↓, Alwafi M. ↑,
78', Cartabia F. 🟨,
78', 0 - 3, Breno ⚽, Al Ghassani Y. (A),
81', Akonnor R. ↓, Sagna E. ↑,
82', Mateus Henrique ↓, Seifi M. ↑,
84', Guilherme 🟨,

Chances of winning

Al-Jazira
31%

Draw
26%

Shabab Al-Ahli
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

29.8%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

30.3%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Jazira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shabab Al-Ahli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Jazira than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shabab Al-Ahli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al-Jazira - Shabab Al-Ahli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.77)	3.52 ↑ (3.12)	2.13 ↓ (2.53)	9% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Al-Jazira - Shabab Al-Ahli?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Shabab Al-Ahli (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shabab Al-Ahli will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Al Jazira (votes: 1 - 20%). Shabab Al-Ahli (votes: 4 - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 and 6)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Jazira won 1.
Al Jazira is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Shabab Al-Ahli has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Jazira won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:39. (average 1.6:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Al Jazira won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Jazira won against Shabab Al-Ahli?

Al-Jazira has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shabab Al-Ahli won against Al-Jazira?

Shabab Al-Ahli has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Jazira - Shabab Al-Ahli were as follows:

25.05.2025 Al-Jazira - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:2

19.04.2025 Al-Jazira - Shabab Al-Ahli 2:1

21.01.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Jazira 2:1

07.04.2024 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Jazira 3:2

07.10.2023 Al-Jazira - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:1

Latest results of Al-Jazira

29.12.2025 Ittihad Kalba - Al-Jazira 1:1 ✺

21.12.2025 Al-Jazira - Al Dhafra 4:2 ✺

13.12.2025 Al-Wahda - Al-Jazira 0:1 ✺

05.12.2025 Al-Jazira - Al-Wahda 0:3 ✺

30.11.2025 Al Wasl - Al-Jazira 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli

27.12.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Sharjah 2:3 ✺

23.12.2025 Al-Sadd - Shabab Al-Ahli 4:2 ✺

29.11.2025 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 4:2 ✺

24.11.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Gharafa 2:0 ✺

20.11.2025 Khor Fakkan - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:1 ✺

UAE Football League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	17	13	3	1	38:5	33	42
2	Al Ain	17	12	5	0	35:14	21	41
3	Al Wahda	17	9	6	2	28:14	14	33
4	Al Jazira	18	9	4	5	28:16	12	31
5	Al Wasl	17	8	6	3	21:16	5	30
6	Ajman	18	7	2	9	19:24	-5	23
7	Al Nasr	17	5	7	5	21:22	-1	22
8	Ittihad Kalba	18	5	5	8	19:28	-9	20
9	Khorfakkan	17	5	4	8	24:30	-6	19
10	Al Dhafra	18	5	3	10	24:37	-13	18
11	Al Sharjah	17	5	2	10	22:32	-10	17
12	Al Bataeh	17	3	4	10	17:27	-10	13
13	Dibba Al Fujairah	16	3	3	10	15:31	-16	12
14	Bani Yas	16	3	2	11	15:30	-15	11

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Division 1