Shabab Al-Ahli vs Al-Wahda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
07/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • UAE League - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesADtv
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.690.04
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
62
Shots on target
20
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
13
Passes
82% (362/443)80% (355/444)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.690.04
xG on target (xGOT)
0.350.00
Total shots
62
Shots on target
20
Shots off target
22
Blocked shots
20
Shots inside the box
30
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1120
Passes
82% (362/443)80% (355/444)
Long passes
54% (31/57)55% (37/67)
Passes in final third
69% (84/121)60% (71/118)
Crosses
0% (0/10)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.170.29
Throw ins
2421
Fouls
2011
Tackles
86% (12/14)85% (17/20)
Duels won
4864
Clearances
1718
Interceptions
815
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
01
xGOT faced
0.000.35
Goals prevented
0.00-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', Jadsom 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Mateusao , Guilherme (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Breno , Maksimovic N. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Kauan Santos (Own goal),
  • 62', Ezatolahi S. , Al Nuaimi E. ,
  • 63', Cartabia F. , Al Mansouri M. ,
  • 63', Caio Canedo , Diarra B. ,
  • 69', Mateusao , Azmoun S. ,
  • 72', Benteke C. , Kruspzky F. ,
  • 84', Mateus Henrique , Renan ,
  • 89', Jadsom , Ghorbani M. ,
  • 90+1', Yuri Cesar 🟨,

Chances of winning


Shabab Al-Ahli
53.5%
Draw
25.5%
Al-Wahda
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.6% 29.2% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 28.5% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shabab Al-Ahli's performance.
  • Al-Wahda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wahda than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Wahda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.95)
    3.63
    (3.18)
    4.4
    (3.99)
    8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al-Ahli won 2.
    • Shabab Al-Ahli is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Al-Wahda has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Al-Wahda has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Shabab Al-Ahli is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al-Ahli won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shabab Al-Ahli won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.9:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Wahda were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Al-Wahda - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:0
    27.04.2025 Al-Wahda - Shabab Al-Ahli 2:2
    22.09.2024 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Wahda 5:4
    29.03.2024 Al-Wahda - Shabab Al-Ahli 3:3
    29.09.2023 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Wahda 3:1
    Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli
    Latest results of Al-Wahda
    03.03.2026 Al-Wahda - Al-Ittihad Jeddah Postponed
    25.02.2026 Al-Wahda - Ajman Club 2:0
    20.02.2026 Al-Wahda - Al-Jazira 1:2
    16.02.2026 Al-Hilal - Al-Wahda 2:1
    09.02.2026 Al-Wahda - Al-Ahli Jeddah 0:0
    UAE Football League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ain20155041:162550
    2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai20154148:74149
    3Al Jazira20114533:181537
    4Al Wahda2097429:171234
    5Al Wasl2096524:20433
    6Al Nasr2069525:25027
    7Ajman20731020:26-624
    8Al Sharjah20631129:37-821
    9Ittihad Kalba2056922:35-1321
    10Bani Yas20631120:31-1121
    11Khorfakkan20551027:36-920
    12Al Dhafra20531225:42-1718
    13Al Bataeh20451119:29-1017
    14Dibba Al Fujairah20351217:40-2314

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Division 1