Ittihad Kalba vs Shabab Al-Ahli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/10/2025 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ittihad Kalba Club Stadium (Kalba).

UAE League - Round 6
Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	HOY TV
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, ADtv
World	Triller TV+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	1.26
Ball Possession
35%	65%
Total shots
10	16
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
78% (221/284)	88% (458/520)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	1.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.06	0.26
Total shots
10	16
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
6	10
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
5	9
Shots outside the Box
5	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
14	28
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
6	10
Passes
78% (221/284)	88% (458/520)
Long passes
46% (29/63)	56% (20/36)
Passes in final third
49% (33/67)	76% (133/175)
Crosses
33% (4/12)	25% (7/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	1.34
Throw-ins
22	21
Fouls
10	6
Tackles
73% (11/15)	81% (17/21)
Duels won
43	47
Clearances
32	20
Interceptions
11	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.26	0.06
Goals prevented
0.26	0.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Rivas R. 🟨,
60', Abunamous A. ↓, Al Blooshi Y. ↑,
61', Gassama S. ↓, Leandro Spadacio ↑,
67', Breno ↓, Ezatolahi S. ↑,
67', Kauan Santos ↓, Seifi M. ↑,
78', Yuri Cesar ↓, Mateusao ↑,
83', Rivas R. 🟥,
86', Maksimovic N. ↓, Dabbur M. ↑,
86', Nourollahi A. ↓, Salmin A. ↑,
86', Ghoddos S. ↓, Samdaliri A. ↑,
89', Moghanlou S. 🟨,
90+7', Rashid S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Ittihad Kalba
20.7%

Draw
23.7%

Shabab Al-Ahli
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

25.1%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

24.8%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ittihad Kalba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shabab Al-Ahli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ittihad Kalba than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shabab Al-Ahli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ittihad Kalba - Shabab Al-Ahli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (3.66)	3.9 ↑ (3.68)	1.66 ↓ (1.85)	8.3% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Ittihad Kalba - Shabab Al-Ahli?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1 - Ittihad Kalba (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ittihad Kalba (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Shabab Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ittihad Kalba won 0.
In recent matches, Ittihad Kalba has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Shabab Al-Ahli is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Shabab Al-Ahli is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ittihad Kalba won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 13:38. (average 0.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Ittihad Kalba won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.5:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Ittihad Kalba won against Shabab Al-Ahli?

Ittihad Kalba has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shabab Al-Ahli won against Ittihad Kalba?

Shabab Al-Ahli has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ittihad Kalba - Shabab Al-Ahli were as follows:

11.04.2025 Ittihad Kalba - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:2

22.11.2024 Shabab Al-Ahli - Ittihad Kalba 0:0

21.04.2024 Shabab Al-Ahli - Ittihad Kalba 4:1

03.11.2023 Ittihad Kalba - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:3

02.03.2023 Ittihad Kalba - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:2

Latest results of Ittihad Kalba

24.09.2025 Khor Fakkan - Ittihad Kalba 2:4 ✺

20.09.2025 Dibba Al Fujairah - Ittihad Kalba 1:2 ✺

11.09.2025 Ittihad Kalba - Al-Wahda 0:0 ✺

05.09.2025 Ittihad Kalba - Al Ain 0:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Al Ain - Ittihad Kalba 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli

30.09.2025 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:1 ✺

25.09.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:1 ✺

16.09.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Tractor Sazi 1:1 ✺

11.09.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Bani Yas 1:0 ✺

UAE Football League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	17	13	3	1	38:5	33	42
2	Al Ain	17	12	5	0	35:14	21	41
3	Al Wahda	17	9	6	2	28:14	14	33
4	Al Jazira	18	9	4	5	28:16	12	31
5	Al Wasl	17	8	6	3	21:16	5	30
6	Ajman	18	7	2	9	19:24	-5	23
7	Al Nasr	17	5	7	5	21:22	-1	22
8	Ittihad Kalba	18	5	5	8	19:28	-9	20
9	Khorfakkan	17	5	4	8	24:30	-6	19
10	Al Dhafra	18	5	3	10	24:37	-13	18
11	Al Sharjah	17	5	2	10	22:32	-10	17
12	Al Bataeh	17	3	4	10	17:27	-10	13
13	Dibba Al Fujairah	16	3	3	10	15:31	-16	12
14	Bani Yas	16	3	2	11	15:30	-15	11

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Division 1