Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Nsugubo B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Shabana
51% | Draw
31% | Sofapaka
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shabana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Shabana - Sofapaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.79) |
2.92 ↓
(3) |
5.01 ↑
(4.8) |
10.6%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).
- Shabana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sofapaka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Shabana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Shabana is a strong favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shabana won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shabana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Shabana won against Sofapaka?
Shabana has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Shabana?
Sofapaka has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shabana - Sofapaka were as follows:
26.01.2025
Sofapaka
-
Shabana
0:1
23.10.2024
Shabana
-
Sofapaka
0:1
04.05.2024
Sofapaka
-
Shabana
0:1
16.12.2023
Shabana
-
Sofapaka
4:1
Latest results of Shabana
Latest results of Sofapaka
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | KCB | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
