Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Nsugubo B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Shabana
51% | Draw
31% | Sofapaka
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shabana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Shabana - Sofapaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.79) |
2.92 ↓
(3) |
5.01 ↑
(4.8) |
10.6%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).
- Shabana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sofapaka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Shabana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Shabana is a strong favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shabana won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shabana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Shabana won against Sofapaka?
Shabana has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Shabana?
Sofapaka has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shabana - Sofapaka were as follows:
26.01.2025
Sofapaka
-
Shabana
0:1
23.10.2024
Shabana
-
Sofapaka
0:1
04.05.2024
Sofapaka
-
Shabana
0:1
16.12.2023
Shabana
-
Sofapaka
4:1
Latest results of Shabana
Latest results of Sofapaka
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 45:19 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | Leopards | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | Police FC | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 48 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Shabana | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Nairobi United | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | KCB | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:31 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Tusker | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 24:27 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Mara Sugar | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Bandari | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Muranga | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:31 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29:33 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 31 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 19:30 | -11 | 30 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 17:39 | -22 | 18 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
