Kryvbas vs Shakhtar Donetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ukrainian Premier League Kryvbas - Shakhtar Donetsk
Result
1:2
16/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • UKRAINE: Premier League - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaGONET.TV
czech-republicCzech-republicgoNET TV
polandPolandGONETV
slovakiaSlovakiagoNET TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
53
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
12
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
53
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
20
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
12
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
53
Fouls
35
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', Bizimana D. 🟨,
  • 38', Matviienko M. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Stepanenko T. , Sudakov G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lunyov M. , Mykytyshyn A. ,
  • 51', Stetskov T. , Ilic H. ,
  • 51', Drambayev O. , Tverdokhlib Y. ,
  • 51', Bizimana D. , Ikenna C. ,
  • 51', Sikan D. , Bondarenko A. ,
  • 51', Riznyk D. , Fesyun K. ,
  • 51', Kryskiv D. , Kevin ,
  • 51', Stepanenko T. , Marlon Gomes ,
  • 62', 0 - 2, Kevin , Sudakov G. (A),
  • 67', Ikenna C. , Ponedelnik A. ,
  • 77', Ilic H. (Pen),
  • 85', 1 - 2, Tverdokhlib Y. , Dibango I. (A),
  • 87', Vakulko Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kryvbas
11.2%
Draw
22.1%
Shakhtar Donetsk
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.9% 23.2% 53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8% 23.1% 54.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kryvbas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kryvbas's form might have worsened.
  • Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shakhtar Donetsk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kryvbas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kryvbas - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.86
    (4.02)
    4.48
    (3.97)
    1.49
    (1.71)
    0.8%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Kryvbas - Shakhtar Donetsk?
  • Users Predictions: Shakhtar Donetsk will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kryvbas won 0.
    • Kryvbas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Shakhtar is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Shakhtar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Shakhtar have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Shakhtar is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Kryvbas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-15.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kryvbas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kryvbas - Shakhtar Donetsk were as follows:
    06.03.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Kryvbas 1:1
    03.03.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk - Kryvbas 5:2
    20.08.2023 Kryvbas - Shakhtar Donetsk 3:3
    12.03.2023 Kryvbas - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:3
    28.08.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk - Kryvbas 1:0
    Latest results of Kryvbas
    12.04.2025 Kryvbas - Dynamo Kyiv 0:2
    06.04.2025 Oleksandriya - Kryvbas 1:0
    30.03.2025 Vorskla Poltava - Kryvbas 0:1
    06.03.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Kryvbas 1:1
    02.03.2025 Inhulets - Kryvbas 2:0
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    Ukrainian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oleksandriya00000:000
    2Shakhtar Donetsk00000:000
    3Dyn. Kyiv00000:000
    4FK Zorya Luhansk00000:000
    5Obolon00000:000
    6Kryvbas00000:000
    7Polissya Zhytomyr00000:000
    8Veres-Rivne00000:000
    9Kolos Kovalivka00000:000
    10Rukh Lviv00000:000
    11Metalist 192500000:000
    12LNZ Cherkasy00000:000
    13Epitsentr00000:000
    14SC Poltava00000:000
    15Karpaty Lviv00000:000
    16Kudrivka-Nyva00000:000

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