Oleksandriya vs Shakhtar Donetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ukrainian Cup Oleksandriya - Shakhtar Donetsk
Result
0:1 ET
02/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ukrainian Cup - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ukraineUkraineUPL TV

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Henrique P. 🟨,
  • 24', Nazaryna Y. 🟨,
  • 36', Pedrinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Ferreira M. 🟨,
  • 54', Kevin 🟨,
  • 55', Myshnyov D. 🟨,
  • 60', Nazaryna Y. , Bondarenko A. ,
  • 60', Pedrinho , Alisson ,
  • 63', Cara T. , Kovalets K. ,
  • 63', Filippov O. , Ndicka Matam T. ,
  • 69', Eguinaldo , Traore L. ,
  • 82', Myshnyov D. , Smyrnyi Y. ,
  • 83', Kaliuzhnyi I. 🟨,
  • 84', Juan Alvina 🟨,
  • 89', Shepelev V. , Shostak D. ,
  • 89', Juan Alvina , Reis G. ,
  • 90', Bondar V. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 1)
  • 91', Marlon Gomes , Ghram A. ,
  • 93', Matviienko M. 🟨,
  • 98', Traore L. 🟨,
  • 106', Martynyuk O. , Kopyna Y. ,
  • 109', Smyrnyi Y. 🟨,
  • 110', 0 - 1, Kevin , Sudakov G. (A),
  • 114', Kevin , Glushchenko A. ,

Chances of winning


Oleksandriya
18.8%
Draw
27.4%
Shakhtar Donetsk
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.1% 21.6% 62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6% 20.9% 64.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oleksandriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shakhtar Donetsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shakhtar Donetsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Oleksandriya - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.93
    (5.81)
    3.38
    (4.32)
    1.72
    (1.5)
    8%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Oleksandriya - Shakhtar Donetsk?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Oleksandriya will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Oleksandriya won 1.
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • Shakhtar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Shakhtar is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Oleksandriya won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23:33 (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Oleksandriya won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:16 (average 1.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oleksandriya - Shakhtar Donetsk were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Oleksandriya 3:0
    24.08.2024 Oleksandriya - Shakhtar Donetsk 4:3
    26.02.2024 Oleksandriya - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:0
    14.08.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk - Oleksandriya 2:1
    07.05.2023 Oleksandriya - Shakhtar Donetsk 1:1
    Latest results of Oleksandriya
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/64-finals
    1Lokomotyv KyivMetalist 19251 : 4
    2TrostyanetsSC Poltava0 : 1
    4ByeVeres-Rivne
    5Kolos KovalivkaBye
    8ByeObolon
    9Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    16ByeKryvbas
    17Dinaz VyshgorodKudrivka-Nyva1 : 2
    18ByeLivyi Bereg
    19Revera 1908Podillya Khmelnytskyi2 : 3
    20Real PharmaUCSA0 : 3
    24ByeOleksandriya
    25Shakhtar DonetskBye
    29Olympia SavyntsiKremin2 : 0
    30Hirnyk-SportFSC Mariupol3 : 1
    32ByeFK Zorya Luhansk
    33Probiy HorodenkaKhust4 : 0
    34KulikivNyva Vinnytsya1 : 0
    36ByeInhulets
    37FK MykolaivAhrobiznes Volochysk1 : 0
    38FC VilkhivtsiMetalist Kharkiv0 : 1
    39UzhhorodPrykarpattya0 : 4
    40Nyva TernopilBukovyna1 : 2
    41Skala 1911Epitsentr2 : 0
    42ByeMinaj
    43FC ChernihivChaika1 : 0
    44ViktoriaMFC Metalurh1 : 0
    48ByeLNZ Cherkasy
    49Rukh LvivBye
    53Karpaty LvivBye
    56ByeCh. Odesa
    57Vorskla PoltavaBye
    64ByeDyn. Kyiv

    1/32-finals
    1Metalist 1925SC Poltava5 : 3
    2ByeVeres-Rivne
    3Kolos KovalivkaBye
    4ByeObolon
    5Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    8ByeKryvbas
    9Kudrivka-NyvaLivyi Bereg3 : 2
    10Podillya KhmelnytskyiUCSA0 : 1
    12ByeOleksandriya
    13Shakhtar DonetskBye
    15Olympia SavyntsiHirnyk-Sport4 : 2
    16ByeFK Zorya Luhansk
    17Probiy HorodenkaKulikiv3 : 2
    18ByeInhulets
    19FK MykolaivMetalist Kharkiv3 : 1
    20PrykarpattyaBukovyna0 : 1
    21Skala 1911Minaj1 : 3
    22FC ChernihivViktoria0 : 1
    24ByeLNZ Cherkasy
    25Rukh LvivBye
    27Karpaty LvivBye
    28ByeCh. Odesa
    29Vorskla PoltavaBye
    32ByeDyn. Kyiv

    1/16-finals
    1Metalist 1925Veres-Rivne0 : 4
    2Kolos KovalivkaObolon0 : 1
    3Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    4ByeKryvbas
    5Kudrivka-NyvaUCSA0 : 4
    6ByeOleksandriya
    7Shakhtar DonetskBye
    8Olympia SavyntsiFK Zorya Luhansk1 : 4
    9Probiy HorodenkaInhulets3 : 2
    10FK MykolaivBukovyna1 : 2
    11MinajViktoria0 : 2
    12ByeLNZ Cherkasy
    13Rukh LvivBye
    14Karpaty LvivCh. Odesa3 : 0
    15Vorskla PoltavaBye
    16ByeDyn. Kyiv

    1/8-finals
    1Veres-RivneObolon2 : 1
    2Polissya ZhytomyrKryvbas2 : 1
    3UCSAOleksandriya1 : 4
    4Shakhtar DonetskFK Zorya Luhansk1 : 0
    5Probiy HorodenkaBukovyna0 : 1
    6ViktoriaLNZ Cherkasy3 : 2
    7Rukh LvivKarpaty Lviv1 : 0
    8Vorskla PoltavaDyn. Kyiv1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Veres-RivnePolissya Zhytomyr0 : 1
    2OleksandriyaShakhtar Donetsk0 : 1
    3BukovynaViktoria2 : 1
    4Rukh LvivDyn. Kyiv0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Polissya ZhytomyrShakhtar Donetsk0 : 1
    2BukovynaDyn. Kyiv1 : 4

    Final
    1Shakhtar DonetskDyn. Kyiv2 : 1