Shakhtar Donetsk vs Rijeka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
18/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 9
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 8
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.420.44
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
94
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
89% (465/522)80% (238/298)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.420.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.10
Total shots
94
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
00
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
30
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
89% (465/522)80% (238/298)
Long passes
64% (28/44)52% (31/60)
Passes in final third
79% (118/149)62% (44/71)
Crosses
19% (3/16)0% (0/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.25
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
1010
Tackles
84% (16/19)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4832
Clearances
1426
Interceptions
29
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.101.06
Goals prevented
0.101.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Marlon Gomes , Lucas Ferreira ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Bondar V. 🟨,
  • 55', Orec A. 🟨,
  • 59', Orec A. , Lasickas J. ,
  • 66', Menalo L. , Bogojevic B. ,
  • 66', Vignato S. , Butic S. ,
  • 72', Radeljic S. 🟨,
  • 83', Fruk T. , Cop D. ,
  • 83', Ndockyt M. , Jankovic N. ,
  • 84', Newerton , Luca Meirelles ,
  • 89', Eguinaldo , Isaque Silva ,
  • 89', Pedrinho , Kryskiv D. ,

Chances of winning


Shakhtar Donetsk
52.7%
Draw
27.6%
Rijeka
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 21.2% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 20.7% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shakhtar Donetsk's form might have worsened.
  • Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Shakhtar Donetsk - Rijeka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.51)
    3.44
    (4.43)
    4.79
    (5.68)
    5%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk - Rijeka?
  • Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 26 - 53.1%). Rijeka will win (votes: 19 - 38.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 39.1%67.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Rijeka (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Rijeka (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Rijeka (1.94) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Rijeka (2.95) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Shakhtar (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Rijeka (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 30 high ROI users predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 9 - 30%). Rijeka (votes: 21 - 70%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • In this match, Shakhtar is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Shakhtar: Alisson (Foot Injury) Khromey M. (Inactive) Kornienko V. (Inactive) Petryak I. (Inactive) Savchenko R. (Inactive) Topalov D. (Inactive) Traore L. (International duty) Udod D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Rijeka: Kreilach D. (Injury) Petrovic D. (Yellow Cards) Skoric M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shakhtar: Marlon (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rijeka: Ilinkovic S. (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    Latest results of Rijeka
    11.12.2025 Rijeka - Celje 3:0
    06.12.2025 Rijeka - Vukovar 91 3:1
    03.12.2025 Mladost Ždralovi - Rijeka 1:4
    30.11.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Rijeka 1:1
    27.11.2025 Rijeka - AEK Larnaca 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2