Result
1:2 ET
28/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Switzerland | Play RTS, Play RTS, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Exxen |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 2.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (373/471) | 91% (746/823) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 2.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (373/471) | 91% (746/823) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (19/60) | 68% (39/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (42/79) | 81% (231/285) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 13% (3/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 63% (20/32) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 82 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.64 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.64 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Stevanovic M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 0, Njoh L. ⚽, Stevanovic M. (A),
- 53', Njoh L. 🟨,
- 55', Bondarenko A. ↓, Kaua Elias ↑,
- 55', Alisson ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
- 65', Mraz S. ↓, Varela K. ↑,
- 68', Tobias V. ↓, Konoplya Y. ↑,
- 68', Marlon Gomes ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Kevin (Pen),
- 73', Njoh L. ↓, Ondoua G. ↑,
- 83', Antunes A. ↓, Ouattara T. ↑,
- 89', Magnin T. 🟨,
- 90+3', Kevin 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 1)
- 99', Ocheretko O. ↓, Marlon ↑,
- 100', Henrique P. ↓, Azarovi I. ↑,
- 113', 1 - 2, Kaua Elias ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
- 114', Kaua Elias 🟨,
- 114', Fomba L. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
- 114', Stevanovic M. ↓, Morandi G. ↑,
- 119', Pedrinho 🟨,
- 119', Ondoua G. 🟨,
- 120+4', Bronn D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Servette 20.9% | Draw 25.2% | Shakhtar Donetsk 53.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Servette has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Servette than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Servette - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.47 ↑ (3.84) |
3.69 ↓ (3.8) |
1.73 ↓ (1.74) |
7.2% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Servette - Shakhtar Donetsk?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Shakhtar (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Shakhtar (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- TQ, OT - Shakhtar (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Shakhtar Donetsk will win
(43 of 53 users predict this - 81.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.6% – 91.66%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shakhtar Donetsk will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 23 - 88.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Shakhtar is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Servette won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Servette won against Shakhtar Donetsk?
Servette has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shakhtar Donetsk won against Servette?
Shakhtar Donetsk has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Servette - Shakhtar Donetsk were as follows:
21.08.2025
Shakhtar Donetsk
-
Servette
1:1
Latest results of Servette
Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal