Servette vs Shakhtar Donetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 ET
28/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
switzerlandSwitzerlandPlay RTS, Play RTS, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyExxen

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.392.21
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1223
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
79% (373/471)91% (746/823)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
1.392.21
xG on target (xGOT)
0.722.64
Total shots
1223
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
711
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
813
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1839
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
913
Passes
79% (373/471)91% (746/823)
Long passes
32% (19/60)68% (39/57)
Passes in final third
53% (42/79)81% (231/285)
Crosses
43% (6/14)13% (3/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.661.12
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
1311
Tackles
57% (12/21)63% (20/32)
Duels won
5082
Clearances
3422
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.640.72
Goals prevented
0.64-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Stevanovic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 1 - 0, Njoh L. , Stevanovic M. (A),
  • 53', Njoh L. 🟨,
  • 55', Bondarenko A. , Kaua Elias ,
  • 55', Alisson , Pedrinho ,
  • 65', Mraz S. , Varela K. ,
  • 68', Tobias V. , Konoplya Y. ,
  • 68', Marlon Gomes , Lucas Ferreira ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Kevin (Pen),
  • 73', Njoh L. , Ondoua G. ,
  • 83', Antunes A. , Ouattara T. ,
  • 89', Magnin T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Kevin 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 1)
  • 99', Ocheretko O. , Marlon ,
  • 100', Henrique P. , Azarovi I. ,
  • 113', 1 - 2, Kaua Elias , Pedrinho (A),
  • 114', Kaua Elias 🟨,
  • 114', Fomba L. , Jallow A. ,
  • 114', Stevanovic M. , Morandi G. ,
  • 119', Pedrinho 🟨,
  • 119', Ondoua G. 🟨,
  • 120+4', Bronn D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Servette
20.9%
Draw
25.2%
Shakhtar Donetsk
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.7% 24% 52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1% 23.4% 53.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Servette has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Servette than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Servette - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.47
    (3.84)
    3.69
    (3.8)
    1.73
    (1.74)
    7.2%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Servette - Shakhtar Donetsk?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Shakhtar (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Shakhtar (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • TQ, OT - Shakhtar (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Shakhtar Donetsk will win (43 of 53 users predict this - 81.13%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.6%91.66%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shakhtar Donetsk will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 23 - 88.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Shakhtar is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Servette won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Servette - Shakhtar Donetsk were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Servette 1:1
    Latest results of Servette
    14.08.2025 Utrecht - Servette 2:1
    10.08.2025 Servette - Grasshoppers 1:1
    07.08.2025 Servette - Utrecht 1:3
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2