Result
3:1
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 5
- Referee: Jorgji E. (Alb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 16 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ireland | Premier Sports 1 ROI |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 18 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 19 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 5 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (256/340) | 82% (426/521) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (256/340) | 82% (426/521) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (25/69) | 40% (18/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (57/99) | 72% (114/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 29% (8/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 2.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Burke G. ⚽, Healy M. (A),
- 35', 1 - 1, Margeirsson V. ⚽, Omarsson O. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 61', Grace L. ↓, Kovalevskis M. ↑,
- 68', Grant D. ↓, Noonan M. ↑,
- 70', Jonsson A. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 1, Omarsson O. ⚽, Einarsson V. (A),
- 75', Bjarnason A. ↓, Kristinsson K. ↑,
- 84', Watts D. ↓, Malley C. ↑,
- 84', Ozhianvuna V. ↓, McGovern J. ↑,
- 85', Thorsteinsson A. 🟨,
- 88', Thorsteinsson A. ↓, Jonsson K. ↑,
- 88', Yeoman A. ↓, Hallsson G. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Jonsson K. ⚽,
- 90+5', Omarsson O. ↓, Magnusson G. ↑,
- 90+5', Einarsson V. ↓, Steindorsson K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Breiðablik
43% | Draw
26.9% | Shamrock Rovers
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Breiðablik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Breiðablik's form might have worsened.Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shamrock Rovers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Breiðablik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shamrock Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Breiðablik - Shamrock Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.67) |
3.51 ↓
(3.83) |
3.17 ↓
(4.65) |
5.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Breiðablik - Shamrock Rovers?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Breiðablik (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Breiðablik will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Laugardalsvöllur.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Shamrock has had a series of home games.
- Breiðablik is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Shamrock: Mandroiu D.
(Injury)
McEneff A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Breiðablik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Breiðablik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Breiðablik won against Shamrock Rovers?
Breiðablik has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shamrock Rovers won against Breiðablik?
Shamrock Rovers has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Breiðablik - Shamrock Rovers were as follows:
18.07.2023
Breiðablik
-
Shamrock Rovers
2:1
11.07.2023
Shamrock Rovers
-
Breiðablik
0:1
Latest results of Breiðablik
Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
