Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Iran Hazfi Cup Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal
Result
1:2 ET
13/02/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • IRAN: Hazfi Cup - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Red Cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', 0 - 1, Azadi M. R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Ahmadreza Z. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 1)
  • 95', 1 - 2, ,
  • 120+3', 🟥,
  • 120+4', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Shams Azar Qazvin
31%
Draw
31.9%
Esteghlal
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 31.1% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 31.8% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shams Azar Qazvin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shams Azar Qazvin's form might have worsened.
  • Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Esteghlal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shams Azar Qazvin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Esteghlal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (2.29)
    2.84
    (3)
    2.44
    (3.32)
    10.4%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal?
  • Users Predictions: Esteghlal will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Shams Azar Qazvin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Shams Azar Qazvin won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Shams Azar Qazvin won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal were as follows:
    20.01.2025 Esteghlal - Shams Azar Qazvin 0:1
    16.08.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal 1:2
    19.04.2024 Esteghlal - Shams Azar Qazvin 3:2
    02.11.2023 Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal 2:2
    Latest results of Shams Azar Qazvin
    Latest results of Esteghlal
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/16-finals
    1Shenavarsazi QeshmMes Rafsanjan0 : 1
    2Nassaji MazandaranMes Shahr Babak1 : 0
    3FardKheybar Khorramabad0 : 1
    4TractorGol Gohar1 : 2
    5Zob AhanHavadar SC1 : 0
    6ChadormaluMalavan2 : 3
    7Pars Janoobi JamSepahan0 : 2
    8PersepolisMes Soongoun3 : 0
    9Sanat NaftAluminium Arak1 : 0
    10Besat KermanshahShahrdari Abbas1 : 0
    11Naft Bandar AbbasYasa2 : 0
    12Shahrdari NoshahrAstara3 : 0
    13Shams Azar QazvinShahin Tehran2 : 1
    14Esteghlal F.C.Mes Kerman1 : 0
    15Esteghlal KhuzestanPaykan0 : 1
    16FooladFoolad Hormozgan2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Mes RafsanjanNassaji Mazandaran0 : 1
    2Kheybar KhorramabadGol Gohar0 : 1
    3Zob AhanMalavan0 : 1
    4SepahanPersepolis3 : 2
    5Sanat NaftBesat Kermanshah2 : 0
    6Naft Bandar AbbasShahrdari Noshahr0 : 1
    7Shams Azar QazvinEsteghlal F.C.1 : 2
    8PaykanFoolad3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Nassaji MazandaranGol Gohar1 : 3
    2MalavanSepahan1 : 0
    3Sanat NaftShahrdari Noshahr1 : 0
    4Esteghlal F.C.Paykan1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Gol GoharMalavan0 : 1
    2Sanat NaftEsteghlal F.C.0 : 2

    Final
    1MalavanEsteghlal F.C.0 : 1