Result
3:2
05/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | Shabake 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', Mohammadi R. 🟨,
- 32', Mohammadi R. 🟨,
- 44', Jalali A. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Jalali A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 60', 2 - 0, Saharkhizan S. ⚽, Koushki A. (A),
- 67', Jalali A. ↓, Goudarzi H. ↑,
- 67', Zamani A. ↓, Ahmadi M. ↑,
- 67', Asani J. ↓, Eslami M. ↑,
- 68', Shojaeian D. ↓, Fadakar S. ↑,
- 68', Sourgi M. ↓, Mamizadeh M. ↑,
- 88', Saharkhizan S. ↓, Nazon D. ↑,
- 88', Koushki A. ↓, Gholizadeh E. ↑,
- 88', Aghamohammadi M. ↓, Zand A. ↑,
- 88', Mohkamkar A. ↓, Mansouri M. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Rabizadeh H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+8', 2 - 2, Fadakar S. ⚽,
- 90+12', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Esteghlal
52.7% | Draw
31.1% | Shams Azar Qazvin
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esteghlal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Esteghlal's form might have worsened.Shams Azar Qazvin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (+13.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esteghlal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (-4%)
Esteghlal - Shams Azar Qazvin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.3) |
2.95 ↓
(4.4) |
5.66 ↓
(7.5) |
9.2%
(13%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Esteghlal - Shams Azar Qazvin?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Esteghlal will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Shams Azar Qazvin will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 3.
- Esteghlal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Shams Azar Qazvin is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Esteghlal is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Esteghlal won against Shams Azar Qazvin?
Esteghlal has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shams Azar Qazvin won against Esteghlal?
Shams Azar Qazvin has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Esteghlal - Shams Azar Qazvin were as follows:
26.09.2025
Shams Azar Qazvin
-
Esteghlal
1:1
13.02.2025
Shams Azar Qazvin
-
Esteghlal
1:2
20.01.2025
Esteghlal
-
Shams Azar Qazvin
0:1
16.08.2024
Shams Azar Qazvin
-
Esteghlal
1:2
19.04.2024
Esteghlal
-
Shams Azar Qazvin
3:2
Latest results of Esteghlal
Latest results of Shams Azar Qazvin
Iran Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Esteghlal F.C | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 29:16 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | Tractor | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 30:12 | 18 | 39 |
| 3 | Sepahan | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 24:13 | 11 | 39 |
| 4 | Gol Gohar | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 36 |
| 5 | Chadormalu | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 35 |
| 6 | Persepolis | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 34 |
| 7 | Foolad | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Fajr Sepasi | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 29 |
| 10 | Malavan | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | 29 |
| 11 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Paykan | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 23 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Aluminium Arak | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14:21 | -7 | 22 |
| 15 | Zob Ahan | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 12:19 | -7 | 19 |
| 16 | Mes Rafsanjan | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 13:29 | -16 | 15 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Azadegan League
