Result
1:3
10/02/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malaysia | MRTV 4, Pyone Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Bakayoko M. ⚽,
- 16', 0 - 2, Ko Sa Aung Pyae ⚽,
- 22', Ko Sa Aung Pyae (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 3, Thu Ye Min ⚽,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Zinmin S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ayeyawady United
8.4% | Draw
14.4% | Shan United
77.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayeyawady United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Shan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shan United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayeyawady United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shan United than the current prediction. (-5%)
Ayeyawady United - Shan United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.77 ↑
(8.5) |
6.27 ↑
(4.5) |
1.17 ↓
(1.3) |
10.5%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Ayeyawady United - Shan United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ayeyawady United (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Ayeyawady United (4.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Ayeyawady United (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.75 - Ayeyawady United (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2 - Ayeyawady United (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ayeyawady United (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayeyawady United won 0.
- Ayeyawady United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shan United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ayeyawady United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ayeyawady United has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Shan United is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ayeyawady United won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 10:28. (average 0.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ayeyawady United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ayeyawady United won against Shan United?
Ayeyawady United has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shan United won against Ayeyawady United?
Shan United has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ayeyawady United - Shan United were as follows:
27.09.2025
Shan United
-
Ayeyawady United
3:1
24.06.2025
Ayeyawady United
-
Shan United
0:2
19.10.2024
Shan United
-
Ayeyawady United
2:0
08.09.2024
Ayeyawady United
-
Shan United
1:2
03.08.2023
Shan United
-
Ayeyawady United
5:1
Latest results of Ayeyawady United
Latest results of Shan United
Myanmar National League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shan Utd | 19 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 58:9 | 49 | 49 |
| 2 | Yangon Utd | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 59:5 | 54 | 48 |
| 3 | Dagon | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 38 |
| 4 | Hantharwady Utd | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 32:29 | 3 | 27 |
| 5 | Mahar United | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 36:41 | -5 | 25 |
| 6 | Ispe FC | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 30:42 | -12 | 25 |
| 7 | Yadanarbon | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 23 |
| 8 | Ayeyawady | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18:22 | -4 | 23 |
| 9 | Rakhine United | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 24:47 | -23 | 18 |
| 10 | Thitsar Arman | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 27:35 | -8 | 17 |
| 11 | Dagon Port | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 37:57 | -20 | 16 |
| 12 | Yarmanya United | 19 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 17:65 | -48 | 6 |
Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League
Relegation
