Shenzhen Peng City vs Shandong Taishan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Super League Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan
Result
1:3
16/08/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 21
  • Referee: Liu Z. (Chn)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.302.10
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
30
Passes
83% (382/458)85% (412/487)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.302.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.482.00
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
30
Touches in opposition box
2217
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
157
Passes
83% (382/458)85% (412/487)
Long passes
52% (24/46)43% (29/67)
Passes in final third
65% (68/104)67% (70/105)
Crosses
13% (2/16)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.821.26
Throw-ins
1419
Fouls
718
Tackles
46% (6/13)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5142
Clearances
1528
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.000.48
Goals prevented
-1.00-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Merkies R. ,
  • 23', 0 - 2, Qazaishvili V. , Xie Wenneng (A),
  • 36', Peng Xiao 🟨,
  • 45', Zheng Zheng 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Peng Xiao , Shi Ke ,
  • 46', Li Ning , Tiago Leonco ,
  • 55', Garcia E. 🟥,
  • 60', Liao Lisheng 🟨,
  • 62', Li Zhi , Abduweli Behram ,
  • 63', Merkies R. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Tiago Leonco , Wesley Moraes (A),
  • 64', Xie Wenneng , Wang Tong ,
  • 64', Merkies R. , Mei Shuaijun ,
  • 79', Zheng Zheng , Zhao Jianfei ,
  • 79', Huang Zhengyu , Liu Binbin ,
  • 89', Zhang Yudong , Zhang Xiaobin ,
  • 89', Hu Ruibao , Zhang Wei ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 3, Wang Tong ,

Chances of winning


Shenzhen Peng City
29%
Draw
25.1%
Shandong Taishan
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.5% 22.5% 53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9% 21.9% 54.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shandong Taishan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Peng City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shandong Taishan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.29
    (3.83)
    3.75
    (4.17)
    2.02
    (1.77)
    6.5%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen Peng City: 38.8%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shenzhen Peng City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5).
    • Shenzhen Peng City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Shandong Taishan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Shandong Taishan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Shandong Taishan is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Kartsev E. (Yellow Cards) Zhang Yujie (Injury)
    • There will not play in Shandong Taishan: Chen Zeshi (Injury) Cryzan (Yellow Cards) Gao Zhunyi (Red Card)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen Peng City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 1:3.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Shenzhen Peng City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Shandong Taishan - Shenzhen Peng City 4:0
    28.09.2024 Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan 1:4
    16.05.2024 Shandong Taishan - Shenzhen Peng City 3:2
    Latest results of Shandong Taishan
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port26176363:382557
    2Chengdu Rongcheng26167353:223155
    3Shanghai Shenhua26166459:312854
    4Beijing Guoan26156557:391851
    5Shandong Taishan25126756:401642
    6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger25117735:32340
    7Zhejiang Professional26109754:421239
    8Dalian Yingbo25961026:38-1233
    9Yunnan Yukun25871038:49-1131
    10Qingdao West Coast2479831:37-630
    11Henan Songshan Longmen25851245:43229
    12Wuhan Three Towns26661432:54-2224
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng25621729:53-2420
    14Qingdao Hainiu24381323:37-1417
    15Changchun Yatai25451622:41-1917
    16Meizhou Hakka25451630:57-2717

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League