Result
1:3
16/08/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 21
- Referee: Liu Z. (Chn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 2.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (382/458) | 85% (412/487) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 2.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (382/458) | 85% (412/487) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (24/46) | 43% (29/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (68/104) | 67% (70/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.00 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Merkies R. ⚽,
- 23', 0 - 2, Qazaishvili V. ⚽, Xie Wenneng (A),
- 36', Peng Xiao 🟨,
- 45', Zheng Zheng 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Peng Xiao ↓, Shi Ke ↑,
- 46', Li Ning ↓, Tiago Leonco ↑,
- 55', Garcia E. 🟥,
- 60', Liao Lisheng 🟨,
- 62', Li Zhi ↓, Abduweli Behram ↑,
- 63', Merkies R. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 2, Tiago Leonco ⚽, Wesley Moraes (A),
- 64', Xie Wenneng ↓, Wang Tong ↑,
- 64', Merkies R. ↓, Mei Shuaijun ↑,
- 79', Zheng Zheng ↓, Zhao Jianfei ↑,
- 79', Huang Zhengyu ↓, Liu Binbin ↑,
- 89', Zhang Yudong ↓, Zhang Xiaobin ↑,
- 89', Hu Ruibao ↓, Zhang Wei ↑,
- 90+7', 1 - 3, Wang Tong ⚽,
Chances of winning
Shenzhen Peng City
29% | Draw
25.1% | Shandong Taishan
45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shandong Taishan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Peng City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shandong Taishan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.29 ↓
(3.83) |
3.75 ↓
(4.17) |
2.02 ↑
(1.77) |
6.5%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen Peng City: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shenzhen Peng City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5).
- Shenzhen Peng City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shandong Taishan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Shandong Taishan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Shandong Taishan is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Kartsev E.
(Yellow Cards)
Zhang Yujie
(Injury)
- There will not play in Shandong Taishan: Chen Zeshi
(Injury)
Cryzan
(Yellow Cards)
Gao Zhunyi
(Red Card)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen Peng City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 1:3.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Shenzhen Peng City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen Peng City won against Shandong Taishan?
Shenzhen Peng City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shandong Taishan won against Shenzhen Peng City?
Shandong Taishan has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan were as follows:
11.04.2025
Shandong Taishan
-
Shenzhen Peng City
4:0
28.09.2024
Shenzhen Peng City
-
Shandong Taishan
1:4
16.05.2024
Shandong Taishan
-
Shenzhen Peng City
3:2
Latest results of Shenzhen Peng City
Latest results of Shandong Taishan
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 67:41 | 26 | 60 |
| 2 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 56:23 | 33 | 58 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 61:32 | 29 | 57 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 58:41 | 17 | 51 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 59:43 | 16 | 44 |
| 6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 56:44 | 12 | 40 |
| 8 | Qingdao West Coast | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 36 |
| 9 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 41:50 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 | Dalian Yingbo | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 34 |
| 11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 47:44 | 3 | 32 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 32:54 | -22 | 25 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 32:56 | -24 | 23 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 32:60 | -28 | 20 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 18 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
