Shanghai Shenhua vs Ulsan HD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League Shanghai Shenhua - Ulsan HD
Result
1:1
01/10/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Football Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
ukraineUkraineSport 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.72
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
49
Passes
82% (302/368)85% (435/511)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.851.53
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
49
Touches in opposition box
3228
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
75
Passes
82% (302/368)85% (435/511)
Long passes
53% (27/51)54% (26/48)
Passes in final third
72% (59/82)74% (132/179)
Crosses
25% (3/12)26% (7/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.75
Throw-ins
2024
Fouls
57
Tackles
76% (13/17)78% (18/23)
Duels won
3438
Clearances
319
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.530.85
Goals prevented
0.53-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Asue L. ,
  • 60', Seo Myung-Guan 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Ludwigson G. , Ko Seung-Beom (A),
  • 65', Liu Chengyu , Yang Haoyu ,
  • 65', Gao Tianyi , Xu Haoyang ,
  • 65', Lacava M. , Heo Yool ,
  • 65', Erick Farias , Um Won-Sang ,
  • 74', Park Min-Seo , Bojanic D. ,
  • 75', Choi Seok-Hyun 🟨,
  • 81', Ludwigson G. , Cho Hyun-Taek ,
  • 81', Kim Young-Gwon , Jung Seung-Hyun ,
  • 84', Asue L. , Yu Hanchao ,
  • 84', Chan Shinichi , Yang Zexiang ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yxpu7ntb

Official Live

Chances of winning


Shanghai Shenhua
43.1%
Draw
26.3%
Ulsan HD
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 24.3% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 23.8% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Shenhua's form might have worsened.
  • Ulsan HD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Shenhua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Shanghai Shenhua - Ulsan HD Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (1.85)
    3.59
    (3.8)
    3.08
    (3.6)
    5.9%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Shanghai Shenhua - Ulsan HD?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Ulsan will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shanghai Shenhua: 13.8%69.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Ulsan (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ulsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Shanghai Shenhua is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shanghai Shenhua won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shanghai Shenhua won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shanghai Shenhua - Ulsan HD were as follows:
    04.12.2024 Shanghai Shenhua - Ulsan HD 1:2
    Latest results of Shanghai Shenhua
    Latest results of Ulsan HD
    27.09.2025 Daegu - Ulsan HD 1:1
    21.09.2025 Ulsan HD - Anyang 0:0
    13.09.2025 Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD 1:1
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe22004:046
    2Seoul21104:134
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima21103:124
    4Ulsan HD21103:214
    5Gangwon21012:203
    6Chengdu Rongcheng21012:203
    7Buriram21012:4-23
    8Machida20201:102
    9Shanghai Shenhua20112:3-11
    10Johor DT20111:2-11
    11Shanghai Port20111:4-31
    12Melbourne City20020:3-30


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal22005:326
    2Al Ahli SC21106:424
    3Al Sharjah21105:414
    4Al Wahda21102:114
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai21102:114
    6Al-Gharafa21015:413
    7Al-Sadd20202:202
    8Tractor20201:102
    9Al-Duhail20113:4-11
    10Al Shorta20111:3-21
    11Al Ittihad20021:3-20
    12Nasaf Qarshi20024:7-30

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