Beijing Ducks vs Shanxi Zhongyu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball CBA Beijing Ducks - Shanxi Zhongyu
Result
121:103
02/05/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CBA - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5655
Field Goals Made
3934
Field Goals %
69.6%61.8%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
2934
2-Point Field Goals Made
2423
2-Point Field Goals %
82.8%67.6%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2721
3-Point Field Goals Made
1511
3-Point Field Goals %
55.6%52.4%
Free Throws Attempted
2327
Free Throws Made
2324
Free Throws %
100%88.9%
Offensive Rebounds
38
Defensive Rebounds
1514
Total Rebounds
1822
Assists
1012
Blocks
11
Turnovers
68
Steals
51
Personal Fouls
1818

Chances of winning


Beijing Ducks
48.2%
Shanxi Zhongyu
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.6% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Beijing Ducks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beijing Ducks's form might have worsened.
  • Shanxi Zhongyu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shanxi Zhongyu's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Ducks than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beijing Ducks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanxi Zhongyu than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shanxi Zhongyu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Beijing Ducks - Shanxi Zhongyu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.5)

    1.84
    (2.51)
    5.8%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 207.25
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Beijing Ducks - Shanxi Zhongyu?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Beijing will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Shanxi will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shanxi (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 103:106.
  • Preview Facts
    • Beijing Ducks leads series 2-0. 3rd leg./
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing won 3.
    • Beijing is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Shanxi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Shanxi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Beijing has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Shanxi has had a series of home games.
    • Beijing might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beijing won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 2100:1989. (average 105:99.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Beijing won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 967:908. (average 107.4:100.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Ducks - Shanxi Zhongyu were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Shanxi Zhongyu - Beijing Ducks 99:106
    27.04.2025 Shanxi Zhongyu - Beijing Ducks 94:102
    14.02.2025 Shanxi Zhongyu - Beijing Ducks 94:104
    14.12.2024 Beijing Ducks - Shanxi Zhongyu 108:110
    09.12.2024 Shanxi Zhongyu - Beijing Ducks 106:101
    Latest results of Beijing Ducks
    Latest results of Shanxi Zhongyu
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Zhejiang Guangsha (1)Bye
    2Qingdao (8)Zhejiang Chouzhou (9)2 : 1
    3Liaoning (4)Bye
    4Xinjiang (5)Nanjing Tongxi (12)2 : 0
    5Shanxi Zhongyu (2)Bye
    6Guangdong (7)Shanghai (10)2 : 1
    7Beijing (3)Bye
    8Shandong (6)Beijing Royal Fighters (11)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zhejiang Guangsha (1)Qingdao (8)3 : 2
    2Liaoning (4)Xinjiang (5)3 : 0
    3Shanxi Zhongyu (2)Guangdong (7)3 : 0
    4Beijing (3)Beijing Royal Fighters (11)3 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Zhejiang Guangsha (1)Liaoning (4)3 : 0
    2Shanxi Zhongyu (2)Beijing (3)0 : 3

    Final
    1Zhejiang Guangsha (1)Beijing (3)4 : 2