Shaun Murphy vs Gary Wilson – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Grand Prix - Semi-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


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Italy	Eurosport 1
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Romania	Eurosport 1
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Chances of winning

Shaun Murphy
64.9%

Gary Wilson
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shaun Murphy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Gary Wilson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shaun Murphy than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gary Wilson than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Shaun Murphy - Gary Wilson Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)		2.58 ↓ (2.76)	7.8% (6.4%)

Preview Facts

Murphy is ranked World Ranking: 12. Wilson is ranked World Ranking: 17.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murphy won 2.
Each of the two players have built a series of wins lately.
Murphy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Murphy might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Murphy won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 4:3).

How many head-to-head matches has Shaun Murphy won against Gary Wilson?

Shaun Murphy has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gary Wilson won against Shaun Murphy?

Gary Wilson has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shaun Murphy - Gary Wilson were as follows:

26.08.2025 Shaun Murphy - Gary Wilson 3:5

12.01.2025 Shaun Murphy - Gary Wilson 6:3

16.11.2023 Shaun Murphy - Gary Wilson 4:1

26.09.2022 Shaun Murphy - Gary Wilson 3:4

Latest results of Shaun Murphy

11.10.2025 Shaun Murphy - Ding Junhui 5:3 ✺

10.10.2025 Kyren Wilson - Shaun Murphy 0:5 ✺

09.10.2025 Shaun Murphy - Wu Yize 5:4 ✺

07.10.2025 Shaun Murphy - Long Zehuang 5:0 ✺

01.10.2025 Shaun Murphy - Yao Pengcheng 6:1 ✺

Latest results of Gary Wilson

11.10.2025 Ronnie O`Sullivan - Gary Wilson 2:5 ✺

10.10.2025 Gary Wilson - He Guoqiang 5:0 ✺

09.10.2025 Gary Wilson - Mateusz Baranowski 5:4 ✺

08.10.2025 Sunny Akani - Gary Wilson 1:5 ✺

06.10.2025 Gary Wilson - Zhang Xiao 5:0 ✺

Draw

Main

1/32-finals

1	Wilson K. (WO.)	Fu M.
2	Yuan S. (WO.)	Jones Jam.
3	Murphy S.	Zehuang L.	5 : 0
4	Wu Y.	Si X.	5 : 2
5	Walden R.	Slessor E.	3 : 5
6	Lines O.	Allen M.	5 : 4
7	Page J.	Heathcote L.	0 : 5
8	Brown J.	Ding J.	1 : 5
9	O'Sullivan R.	Pengcheng Y.	5 : 1
10	Maguire S.	Williams R.	5 : 2
11	Ajaib F.	Lilley D.	1 : 5
12	Jones Jak	Emery D.	5 : 1
13	Akani S.	Wilson G.	1 : 5
14	Baranowski M.	Hao Z.	5 : 2
15	He G.	Xu Yi Chen	5 : 3
16	Chadha I.	Robertson N.	3 : 5
17	Trump J.	Stevens M.	4 : 5
18	Yuchen W.	Lyu H.	4 : 5
19	Carter A.	Moody S.	3 : 5
20	Bingham S.	Selt M.	5 : 3
21	Un-Nooh T.	Jun J.	5 : 3
22	Grace D.	Hawkins B.	2 : 5
23	Day R.	Zhou Y.	2 : 5
24	Donaldson S.	Williams M. (WO.)
25	Pullen L.	Holt M.	5 : 3
26	Saengkham N.	Szubarczyk M.	5 : 1
27	Selby M.	Davis M.	4 : 5
28	Jiahao H.	Hill A.	2 : 5
29	Wells D.	Gilbert D.	5 : 1
30	Fan Z.	Si Jiahui	4 : 5
31	Robertson J.	O'Connor J.	5 : 1
32	Milkins R.	Zhao X.	5 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Wilson K.	Yuan S.	5 : 2
2	Murphy S.	Wu Y.	5 : 4
3	Slessor E.	Lines O.	4 : 5
4	Heathcote L.	Ding J.	3 : 5
5	O'Sullivan R.	Maguire S.	5 : 0
6	Lilley D.	Jones Jak	3 : 5
7	Wilson G.	Baranowski M.	5 : 4
8	He G.	Robertson N.	5 : 4
9	Stevens M.	Lyu H.	4 : 5
10	Moody S.	Bingham S.	0 : 5
11	Un-Nooh T.	Hawkins B.	2 : 5
12	Zhou Y.	Williams M.	2 : 5
13	Pullen L.	Saengkham N.	5 : 0
14	Davis M.	Hill A.	1 : 5
15	Wells D.	Si Jiahui	5 : 3
16	Robertson J.	Milkins R.	4 : 5

1/8-finals

1	Wilson K.	Murphy S.	0 : 5
2	Lines O.	Ding J.	1 : 5
3	O'Sullivan R.	Jones Jak	5 : 2
4	Wilson G.	He G.	5 : 0
5	Lyu H.	Bingham S.	5 : 3
6	Hawkins B.	Williams M.	4 : 5
7	Pullen L.	Hill A.	5 : 1
8	Wells D.	Milkins R.	5 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Murphy S.	Ding J.	5 : 3
2	O'Sullivan R.	Wilson G.	2 : 5
3	Lyu H.	Williams M.	4 : 5
4	Pullen L.	Wells D.	2 : 5

Semi-finals

1	Murphy S.	Wilson G.	6 : 4
2	Williams M.	Wells D.	6 : 3

Final

1

Murphy S.

Williams M.