Result
6:3
06/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- UK Championship - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Eurosport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Eurosport 1 |
 Finland | Eurosport 1 |
 France | Eurosport 1 |
 Germany | Eurosport 1 |
 Hungary | Eurosport 1 |
 Italy | Eurosport 1 |
 Netherlands | Eurosport 1 |
 Norway | Eurosport 1 |
 Poland | Eurosport 1 |
 Portugal | Eurosport 1 |
 Romania | Eurosport 1 |
 Spain | Eurosport 1 |
 Sweden | Eurosport 1 |
 Turkey | Eurosport 1 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+, TNT Eurosport 1, TNT Sports 3 |
Chances of winning
Mark Selby
58.7% | Shaun Murphy
41.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mark Selby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Shaun Murphy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Selby than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mark Selby that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shaun Murphy than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shaun Murphy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mark Selby - Shaun Murphy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.67) |
|
2.26 ↑
(2.18) |
6.5%
(5.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Mark Selby - Shaun Murphy?
Users Predictions:
Shaun Murphy will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shaun Murphy will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Selby is ranked World Ranking: 11. Murphy is ranked World Ranking: 9.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Selby won 2.
- Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Selby won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 94:83. (average 5.5:4.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Mark Selby won against Shaun Murphy?
Mark Selby has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shaun Murphy won against Mark Selby?
Shaun Murphy has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mark Selby - Shaun Murphy were as follows:
27.09.2025
Mark Selby
-
Shaun Murphy
1:6
29.07.2025
Mark Selby
-
Shaun Murphy
6:0
14.11.2024
Mark Selby
-
Shaun Murphy
4:2
19.07.2024
Mark Selby
-
Shaun Murphy
8:10
01.04.2023
Mark Selby
-
Shaun Murphy
9:10
Latest results of Mark Selby
Latest results of Shaun Murphy
Draw
Main1/16-finals| 1 | Trump J. | Maguire S. | 6 : 4 |
| 2 | Si Jiahui | Day R. | 6 : 0 |
| 3 | Ding J. | Si X. | 6 : 4 |
| 4 | Allen M. | Donaldson S. | 1 : 6 |
| 5 | Williams M. | Gilbert D. | 6 : 4 |
| 6 | Xiao G. | Pang J. | 2 : 6 |
| 7 | Wu Y. | Holt M. | 6 : 4 |
| 8 | Robertson N. | Leclercq J. | 6 : 2 |
| 9 | Wilson K. | Slessor E. | 4 : 6 |
| 10 | Hawkins B. | Lilley D. | 6 : 4 |
| 11 | Selby M. | Peifan L. | 6 : 2 |
| 12 | O'Sullivan R. | Zhou Y. | 4 : 6 |
| 13 | Higgins J. | Woollaston B. | 6 : 2 |
| 14 | Murphy S. | Lyu H. | 6 : 2 |
| 15 | Wilson G. | Zhang A. | 5 : 6 |
| 16 | Zhao X. | Zehuang L. | 6 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Trump J. | Si Jiahui | 6 : 3 |
| 2 | Ding J. | Donaldson S. | 6 : 5 |
| 3 | Williams M. | Pang J. | 3 : 6 |
| 4 | Wu Y. | Robertson N. | 1 : 6 |
| 5 | Slessor E. | Hawkins B. | 0 : 6 |
| 6 | Selby M. | Zhou Y. | 6 : 2 |
| 7 | Higgins J. | Murphy S. | 5 : 6 |
| 8 | Zhang A. | Zhao X. | 6 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Trump J. | Ding J. | 6 : 2 |
| 2 | Pang J. | Robertson N. | 4 : 6 |
| 3 | Hawkins B. | Selby M. | 2 : 6 |
| 4 | Murphy S. | Zhang A. | 6 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Trump J. | Robertson N. | 6 : 3 |
| 2 | Selby M. | Murphy S. | 6 : 3 |
Final
