Shawinigan Cataractes vs Saint John Sea Dogs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:2
19/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • QMJHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 13:47, 0 - 1, Wasmer J. (G), Duhamel O. (A), Groulx O. (A2)
  • 16:21, 1 - 1, Lanthier J. (G),
  • 18:57, 1 - 2, Yared W. (G), Rozzi D. (A),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 17:12, 2 - 2, Elie V. (G),
  • 3rd Period (4 - 0)
  • 02:50, 3 - 2, Ouellet N. (G), Semenyov G. (A),
  • 05:59, 4 - 2, Schneider E. (G), Charron O. (A), Prudhomme J. (A2)
  • 06:45, 5 - 2, Klima J. (G), Lacerte F. (A), Elie V. (A2)
  • 12:20, 6 - 2, Plante M. (G), Dumais L. (A), Ouellet N. (A2)

Chances of winning


Shawinigan Cataractes
63.8%
Draw
17.7%
Saint John Sea Dogs
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 17.9% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 14.8% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shawinigan Cataractes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Saint John Sea Dogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shawinigan Cataractes than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shawinigan Cataractes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint John Sea Dogs than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saint John Sea Dogs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Shawinigan Cataractes - Saint John Sea Dogs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.46)
    5.13
    (5.09)
    4.93
    (4.63)
    9.8%
    (9.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Shawinigan is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shawinigan won 4.
    • Shawinigan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Saint John has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Saint John may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Shawinigan has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Saint John has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Shawinigan is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shawinigan won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 88:60. (average 4.4:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shawinigan won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:29. (average 4.4:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shawinigan Cataractes - Saint John Sea Dogs were as follows:
    14.02.2026 Saint John Sea Dogs - Shawinigan Cataractes 3:2
    23.02.2025 Shawinigan Cataractes - Saint John Sea Dogs 4:1
    15.02.2025 Saint John Sea Dogs - Shawinigan Cataractes 4:6
    26.01.2024 Shawinigan Cataractes - Saint John Sea Dogs 5:3
    18.01.2024 Saint John Sea Dogs - Shawinigan Cataractes 1:6
    QMJHL Table
    2025/26

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPtsPts
    1Blainville-Boisbriand Armada ✔ 60352617256:165801.33
    2Drummondville Voltigeurs ✔ 60334617222:184801.33
    3Rouyn-Noranda Huskies ✔ 60315717199:175791.32
    4Shawinigan Cataractes ✔ 61275623227:208701.15
    5Sherbrooke Phoenix ✔ 591911524192:201651.10
    6Val-d'Or Foreurs ✔ 60242727211:226590.98
    7Victoriaville Tigres ✔ 60149532189:241510.85
    8Gatineau Olympiques60137535137:202450.75


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPtsPts
    1Chicoutimi Sagueneens ✔ 6044259304:139971.62
    2Moncton Wildcats ✔ 60388410287:157961.60
    3Newfoundland Regiment ✔ 60297321228:198751.25
    4Charlottetown Islanders ✔ 60229821208:230701.17
    5Quebec Remparts ✔ 60274623203:181681.13
    6Cape Breton Eagles ✔ 612341222164:191661.08
    7Halifax Mooseheads ✔ 60189627200:240601.00
    8Saint John Sea Dogs ✔ 59184532204:245490.83
    9Rimouski Oceanic60108141144:277370.62
    10Baie-Comeau Drakkar60112641126:247320.53

          Promotion ~ QMJHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Blainville-Boisbriand Armada is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Drummondville Voltigeurs is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rouyn-Noranda Huskies is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Shawinigan Cataractes is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Sherbrooke Phoenix is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Val-d'Or Foreurs is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Victoriaville Tigres is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chicoutimi Sagueneens is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Moncton Wildcats is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Newfoundland Regiment is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlottetown Islanders is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Quebec Remparts is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cape Breton Eagles is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Halifax Mooseheads is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Saint John Sea Dogs is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)