Result
04/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 30
Chances of winning
Hawassa City
33.6% | Draw
34.4% | Sheger Ketema
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Sheger Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hawassa City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (-3%)
Hawassa City - Sheger Ketema Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.35) |
2.62 ↓
(2.8) |
2.82 ↓
(3) |
10.7%
(11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 9).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Sheger Ketema may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hawassa City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Hawassa City won against Sheger Ketema?
Hawassa City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sheger Ketema won against Hawassa City?
Sheger Ketema has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hawassa City - Sheger Ketema were as follows:
25.12.2025
Sheger Ketema
-
Hawassa City
1:2
Latest results of Hawassa City
Latest results of Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 35:17 | 18 | 55 |
| 2 | Mechal | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 47 |
| 3 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 45 |
| 4 | Hawassa | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 43 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 19:18 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 22:17 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Ethiopia Bunna | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 29 | 7 | 16 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 37 |
| 9 | Sheger Ketema | 29 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 36 |
| 10 | St. George | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 | Welayta Dicha | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 35 |
| 12 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 35:35 | 0 | 35 |
| 13 | Welwalo Adigrat | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Hadiya Hossana | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 35 |
| 15 | Ethiopian Insurance | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 24:23 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Adama City | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 34 |
| 17 | Dire Dawa | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 33 |
| 18 | Shire Endaselassie | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 18:23 | -5 | 30 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 30 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 29 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 21:34 | -13 | 25 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
