Result
1:1
19/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 31
- Referee: McLaughlin P. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (320/432) | 79% (372/473) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (320/432) | 79% (372/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (38/93) | 37% (33/89) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (78/136) | 61% (64/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/18) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 94% (15/16) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, O'Reilly A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Akinyemi D. ↓, Mullen D. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Odubeko A. ⚽,
- 65', Winchester C. ↓, Whyte G. ↑,
- 67', Coote A. ↓, Boyd S. ↑,
- 67', Lunney J. ↓, Henry-Francis J. ↑,
- 74', Odubeko A. 🟨,
- 76', Kelly D. ↓, Caffrey E. ↑,
- 76', Bannon A. ↓, Dummigan C. ↑,
- 76', Benson R. ↓, Connolly M. ↑,
- 85', McInroy K. ↓, Coyle M. ↑,
- 85', Odubeko A. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 89', Bone S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Derry City
40.8% | Draw
31.1% | Shelbourne
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derry City's form might have worsened.Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derry City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Derry City - Shelbourne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.03) |
3.03 ↓
(3.25) |
3.38 ↓
(3.98) |
5.8%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Derry City - Shelbourne?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derry: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Shelbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Derry will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Derry: Boyce L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Boyce R.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Shelbourne: Kearns C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:13. (average 1.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Shelbourne?
Derry City has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shelbourne won against Derry City?
Shelbourne has won 2 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - Shelbourne were as follows:
20.06.2025
Shelbourne
-
Derry City
0:1
02.05.2025
Derry City
-
Shelbourne
2:0
14.02.2025
Shelbourne
-
Derry City
3:1
01.11.2024
Derry City
-
Shelbourne
0:1
14.09.2024
Derry City
-
Shelbourne
2:0
Latest results of Derry City
Latest results of Shelbourne
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 53:27 | 26 | 63 |
| 2 | Derry City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 51 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 42:33 | 9 | 50 |
| 4 | Drogheda | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 35:31 | 4 | 47 |
| 5 | St. Patricks | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 39:33 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 38:48 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Galway | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 33:41 | -8 | 34 |
| 9 | Waterford | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 36:56 | -20 | 34 |
| 10 | Cork City | 32 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31:56 | -25 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
