Shelbourne vs Derry City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Irish Premier Division Shelbourne - Derry City
Result
0:1
20/06/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier Division - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
irelandIrelandLOI TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.27
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
86% (431/504)86% (506/585)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.580.64
Total shots
107
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
185
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
913
Passes
86% (431/504)86% (506/585)
Long passes
49% (33/67)34% (21/61)
Passes in final third
71% (95/133)66% (67/102)
Crosses
26% (6/23)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.20
Throw-ins
1614
Fouls
139
Tackles
61% (11/18)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4850
Clearances
1925
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.640.58
Goals prevented
-0.360.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Diallo S. 🟨,
  • 38', Martin J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Martin J. , Odubeko A. ,
  • 55', 0 - 1, Duffy M. , Winchester C. (A),
  • 61', Barrett P. 🟨,
  • 62', Diallo S. , McMullan P. ,
  • 63', Whyte G. , Benson R. ,
  • 63', Boyce L. , Mullen D. ,
  • 64', Boyd S. , Kelly D. ,
  • 64', Norris J. , Coote A. ,
  • 68', Cann H. 🟨,
  • 77', Bone S. 🟨,
  • 78', Wood H. , O'Sullivan J. ,
  • 84', Winchester C. 🟨,
  • 90', Winchester C. , Hoban P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shelbourne
36.2%
Draw
32.5%
Derry City
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 29.3% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 29.2% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • The chances for Derry City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Shelbourne - Derry City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.38)
    2.87
    (3.19)
    2.95
    (3)
    7.5%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Shelbourne - Derry City?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Shelbourne will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Derry will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shelbourne (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Derry (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Derry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shelbourne won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shelbourne - Derry City were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Derry City - Shelbourne 2:0
    14.02.2025 Shelbourne - Derry City 3:1
    01.11.2024 Derry City - Shelbourne 0:1
    14.09.2024 Derry City - Shelbourne 2:0
    05.08.2024 Shelbourne - Derry City 0:0
    Latest results of Shelbourne
    Latest results of Derry City
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shamrock Rovers27158446:232353
    2Bohemians281441036:261046
    3Derry City28136938:30845
    4Drogheda281012630:26442
    5St. Patricks28118933:27641
    6Shelbourne27912634:29539
    7Waterford281041433:48-1534
    8Galway28791230:37-730
    9Sligo Rovers28851535:47-1229
    10Cork City283101527:49-2219

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1