Result
1:2
13/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 6
- Referee: Doyle N. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (415/495) | 72% (278/385) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (415/495) | 72% (278/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (16/39) | 33% (29/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (89/123) | 53% (54/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/29) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 54% (13/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Henry-Francis J. ⚽, Lundgren M. (A),
- 10', 1 - 1, Rylah H. ⚽, McClean J. (A),
- 31', Bone S. ↓, Norris J. ↑,
- 34', 1 - 2, Kelly D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Cotter B. ↓, Santos K. ↑,
- 58', O'Reilly A. ↓, Olayinka J. ↑,
- 59', Rylah H. ↓, Markey D. ↑,
- 71', Akinyemi D. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 72', Martin J. ↓, Freitas R. ↑,
- 72', Lundgren M. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
- 76', Henry-Francis J. 🟨,
- 78', Bannon A. ↓, Dummigan C. ↑,
- 84', Wood H. ↓, Coote A. ↑,
- 84', Henry-Francis J. ↓, Caffrey E. ↑,
- 87', Ibsen Rossi Z. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Derry City
42.3% | Draw
29.1% | Shelbourne
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Derry City - Shelbourne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.33) |
3.23 ↓
(3.27) |
3.26 ↑
(3.1) |
6.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derry City - Shelbourne?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derry: 40% – 93.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Shelbourne (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Derry City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Derry (votes: 4 - 80%). Shelbourne (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Derry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Derry has had a series of home games.
- Derry could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Derry: Boyce L.
(Inactive)
Maher B.
(Inactive)
Winchester C.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Shelbourne: Barrett P.
(Inactive)
Casey O.
(Inactive)
Mbeng M.
(Injury)
Moore S.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Derry: Markey D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 1.1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Shelbourne?
Derry City has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shelbourne won against Derry City?
Shelbourne has won 2 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - Shelbourne were as follows:
19.09.2025
Derry City
-
Shelbourne
1:1
20.06.2025
Shelbourne
-
Derry City
0:1
02.05.2025
Derry City
-
Shelbourne
2:0
14.02.2025
Shelbourne
-
Derry City
3:1
01.11.2024
Derry City
-
Shelbourne
0:1
Latest results of Derry City
Latest results of Shelbourne
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bohemians | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Derry City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Drogheda | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Galway | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 10 | Waterford | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:19 | -13 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
