Result
0:1
20/06/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (431/504) | 86% (506/585) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (431/504) | 86% (506/585) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (33/67) | 34% (21/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (95/133) | 66% (67/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Diallo S. 🟨,
- 38', Martin J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Martin J. ↓, Odubeko A. ↑,
- 55', 0 - 1, Duffy M. ⚽, Winchester C. (A),
- 61', Barrett P. 🟨,
- 62', Diallo S. ↓, McMullan P. ↑,
- 63', Whyte G. ↓, Benson R. ↑,
- 63', Boyce L. ↓, Mullen D. ↑,
- 64', Boyd S. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
- 64', Norris J. ↓, Coote A. ↑,
- 68', Cann H. 🟨,
- 77', Bone S. 🟨,
- 78', Wood H. ↓, O'Sullivan J. ↑,
- 84', Winchester C. 🟨,
- 90', Winchester C. ↓, Hoban P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shelbourne
36.2% | Draw
32.5% | Derry City
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)The chances for Derry City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Shelbourne - Derry City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.38) |
2.87 ↓
(3.19) |
2.95 ↓
(3) |
7.5%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Shelbourne - Derry City?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Shelbourne will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Derry will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shelbourne (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Derry (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Derry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shelbourne won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Shelbourne won against Derry City?
Shelbourne has won 2 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Shelbourne?
Derry City has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shelbourne - Derry City were as follows:
02.05.2025
Derry City
-
Shelbourne
2:0
14.02.2025
Shelbourne
-
Derry City
3:1
01.11.2024
Derry City
-
Shelbourne
0:1
14.09.2024
Derry City
-
Shelbourne
2:0
05.08.2024
Shelbourne
-
Derry City
0:0
Latest results of Shelbourne
Latest results of Derry City
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 44:23 | 21 | 49 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 42 |
| 3 | Derry City | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Drogheda | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | Waterford | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 32:44 | -12 | 33 |
| 7 | St. Patricks | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
| 8 | Galway | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 29 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33:41 | -8 | 26 |
| 10 | Cork City | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27:46 | -19 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
