Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Liaoning Tieren – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yutong International Sports Center (Shijiazhuang).

Jia League - Round 26
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.93	0.43
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
2	1
Passes
81% (282/347)	84% (346/413)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93	0.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.54	1.32
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
8	4
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
2	1
Touches in opposition box
15	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
14	20
Passes
81% (282/347)	84% (346/413)
Long passes
50% (25/50)	44% (18/41)
Passes in final third
64% (58/90)	71% (82/116)
Crosses
46% (6/13)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.84	0.55
Throw-ins
17	16
Fouls
20	14
Tackles
60% (6/10)	50% (3/6)
Duels won
36	38
Clearances
21	13
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
1.32	0.54
Goals prevented
-0.68	-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Mbenza G. ⚽, Sun Kangbo (A),
23', 1 - 1, Liu Le ⚽,
40', Xu Dong 🟨,
42', Yang Yun 🟨,
42', Pan Ximing 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Mbenza G. ⚽, Samuel A. (A),
55', Dankler 🟨,
57', Sun Kangbo 🟨,
68', Liu Le ↓, Gao Huaze ↑,
68', Deng Jiajie ↓, Wang Jingbin ↑,
69', Nie Xuran ↓, Luan Yi ↑,
81', An Yifei ↓, Sun Weizhe ↑,
85', Mbenza G. ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
90+2', Zang Yifeng ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,
90+2', Samuel A. 🟨,
90+4', Kunimoto T. ↓, Gao Haisheng ↑,

Chances of winning

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
19.9%

Draw
26.1%

Liaoning Tieren
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

26.8%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

27.6%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shijiazhuang Gongfu's form might have worsened.

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liaoning Tieren's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shijiazhuang Gongfu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liaoning Tieren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (3.05)	3.69 ↑ (3.35)	1.79 ↓ (2.05)	3.8% (11.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren?

Users Predictions: Liaoning Tieren will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 1.
Shijiazhuang Gongfu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Liaoning Tieren has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Shijiazhuang Gongfu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Shijiazhuang Gongfu won against Liaoning Tieren?

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Liaoning Tieren won against Shijiazhuang Gongfu?

Liaoning Tieren has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren were as follows:

31.05.2025 Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1:0

22.09.2024 Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren 0:1

05.05.2024 Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu 0:2

03.09.2023 Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren 1:1

20.05.2023 Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1:1

Latest results of Shijiazhuang Gongfu

05.10.2025 Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1:3 ✺

26.09.2025 Qingdao Red Lions - Shijiazhuang Gongfu 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 1:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Guangdong GZ-Power - Shijiazhuang Gongfu 2:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Shaanxi Union 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Liaoning Tieren

05.10.2025 Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Liaoning Tieren - Dingnan United 0:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Dalian Kun City - Liaoning Tieren 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Shaanxi Union - Liaoning Tieren 3:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Red Lions 2:1 ✺

Chinese Jia League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Liaoning Tieren	27	18	7	2	57:26	31	61
2	Chongqing Tonglianglong	27	17	4	6	50:32	18	55
3	Guangdong GZ-Power	27	16	5	6	46:30	16	53
4	Yanbian Longding	27	13	7	7	34:24	10	46
5	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	27	12	8	7	37:29	8	44
6	Nantong Zhiyun	27	12	7	8	43:26	17	43
7	Dingnan Ganlian	27	10	10	7	37:32	5	40
8	Dalian K'un City	27	10	8	9	36:34	2	38
9	Shaanxi Union	27	9	8	10	41:41	0	35
10	Nanjing City	27	8	8	11	35:39	-4	32
11	Suzhou Dongwu	27	7	10	10	22:28	-6	31
12	Shanghai Jiading Huilong	27	8	6	13	24:38	-14	30
13	Foshan Nanshi	27	6	7	14	25:43	-18	25
14	Shenzhen Juniors	27	7	3	17	35:56	-21	24
15	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	27	5	7	15	21:39	-18	22
16	Qingdao Red Lions	27	2	7	18	15:41	-26	13

Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League