Liaoning Tieren vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Olympic Sports Centre Stadium (Shenyang).

Jia League - Round 11
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.60	0.17
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
7	0
Passes
84% (398/475)	79% (257/325)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60	0.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.04	0.17
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked Shots
2	0
Shots inside the Box
5	1
Shots outside the Box
5	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
7	0
Touches in opposition box
12	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	3
Free Kicks
14	11
Passes
84% (398/475)	79% (257/325)
Long passes
58% (37/64)	43% (23/54)
Passes in final third
64% (82/129)	64% (63/99)
Crosses
11% (3/27)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.97	0.46
Throw-ins
28	19
Fouls
11	14
Tackles
83% (20/24)	78% (18/23)
Duels won
64	48
Clearances
11	30
Interceptions
12	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
0.17	1.04
Goals prevented
0.17	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Tian Yinong 🟨,
45+2', Ma Chongchong 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Gao Jiarun ↓, Wang Tianci ↑,
60', Gui Zihan ↓, Zhang Jiaming ↑,
61', Olavio ↓, Zhu Haiwei ↑,
71', Ayovi J. ↓, Liu Ziming ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Zhang Jiaming ⚽, Zang Yifeng (A),
76', Xu Dong 🟨,
83', Wang Jingbin ↓, Zhao Z. ↑,
83', Ma Chongchong ↓, Zhan Sainan ↑,
90+2', Samuel A. ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,

Chances of winning

Liaoning Tieren
59.2%

Draw
24.1%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

25.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

24.4%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liaoning Tieren's performance.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shijiazhuang Gongfu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liaoning Tieren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shijiazhuang Gongfu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.95)	3.81 ↑ (3.56)	5.47 ↑ (3.3)	9.2% (9.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Liaoning Tieren (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, Shijiazhuang Gongfu has had a series of home games.
In this match, Liaoning Tieren is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Liaoning Tieren won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Liaoning Tieren won against Shijiazhuang Gongfu?

Liaoning Tieren has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shijiazhuang Gongfu won against Liaoning Tieren?

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu were as follows:

22.09.2024 Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren 0:1

05.05.2024 Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu 0:2

03.09.2023 Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren 1:1

20.05.2023 Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1:1

Latest results of Liaoning Tieren

25.05.2025 Suzhou Dongwu - Liaoning Tieren 1:1 ✺

21.05.2025 Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Hainiu 0:1 ✺

17.05.2025 Dingnan United - Liaoning Tieren 3:3 ✺

11.05.2025 Liaoning Tieren - Dalian Kun City 2:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Liaoning Tieren - Shaanxi Union 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Shijiazhuang Gongfu

25.05.2025 Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City 2:0 ✺

21.05.2025 Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Beijing Guoan 0:5 ✺

17.05.2025 Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Qingdao Red Lions 0:2 ✺

10.05.2025 Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1:4 ✺

04.05.2025 Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangdong GZ-Power 1:2 ✺

Chinese Jia League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Liaoning Tieren	21	15	5	1	48:21	27	50
2	Chongqing Tonglianglong	20	13	4	3	42:23	19	43
3	Guangdong GZ-Power	20	10	4	6	33:26	7	34
4	Yanbian Longding	20	9	6	5	22:18	4	33
5	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	20	8	7	5	29:23	6	31
6	Dalian K'un City	20	8	6	6	27:24	3	30
7	Dingnan Ganlian	20	7	8	5	28:25	3	29
8	Nantong Zhiyun	21	8	5	8	26:23	3	29
9	Shanghai Jiading Huilong	21	7	5	9	19:26	-7	26
10	Nanjing City	20	6	7	7	27:29	-2	25
11	Suzhou Dongwu	21	5	9	7	19:22	-3	24
12	Shaanxi Union	19	6	5	8	27:31	-4	23
13	Shenzhen Juniors	20	6	2	12	29:41	-12	20
14	Foshan Nanshi	21	4	6	11	19:34	-15	18
15	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	21	4	5	12	16:30	-14	17
16	Qingdao Red Lions	21	2	6	13	13:28	-15	12

Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League