Result
1:2
11/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (282/347) | 84% (346/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.54 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Passes |
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| 81% (282/347) | 84% (346/413) |
| Long passes |
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| 50% (25/50) | 44% (18/41) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 64% (58/90) | 71% (82/116) |
| Crosses |
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| 46% (6/13) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
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| 20 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 50% (3/6) |
| Duels won |
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| 36 | 38 |
| Clearances |
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| 21 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
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| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.32 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Mbenza G. ⚽, Sun Kangbo (A),
- 23', 1 - 1, Liu Le ⚽,
- 40', Xu Dong 🟨,
- 42', Yang Yun 🟨,
- 42', Pan Ximing 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 2, Mbenza G. ⚽, Samuel A. (A),
- 55', Dankler 🟨,
- 57', Sun Kangbo 🟨,
- 68', Liu Le ↓, Gao Huaze ↑,
- 68', Deng Jiajie ↓, Wang Jingbin ↑,
- 69', Nie Xuran ↓, Luan Yi ↑,
- 81', An Yifei ↓, Sun Weizhe ↑,
- 85', Mbenza G. ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
- 90+2', Zang Yifeng ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,
- 90+2', Samuel A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Kunimoto T. ↓, Gao Haisheng ↑,
Chances of winning
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
19.9% | Draw
26.1% | Liaoning Tieren
54% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shijiazhuang Gongfu's form might have worsened.Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liaoning Tieren's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shijiazhuang Gongfu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liaoning Tieren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.84 ↑
(3.05) |
3.69 ↑
(3.35) |
1.79 ↓
(2.05) |
3.8%
(11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren?
Users Predictions:
Liaoning Tieren will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 1.
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Liaoning Tieren has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Shijiazhuang Gongfu won against Liaoning Tieren?
Shijiazhuang Gongfu has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liaoning Tieren won against Shijiazhuang Gongfu?
Liaoning Tieren has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren were as follows:
31.05.2025
Liaoning Tieren
-
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1:0
22.09.2024
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
-
Liaoning Tieren
0:1
05.05.2024
Liaoning Tieren
-
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
0:2
03.09.2023
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
-
Liaoning Tieren
1:1
20.05.2023
Liaoning Tieren
-
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1:1
Latest results of Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Latest results of Liaoning Tieren
Chinese Jia League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Nantong Zhiyun | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Dingnan Ganlian | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Juniors | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 5 | Wuxi Wugou | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Yanbian Longding | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Guangxi Hengchen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Dalian K'un City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Foshan Nanshi | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Changchun Yatai | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Shaanxi Union | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Nanjing City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Suzhou Dongwu | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Ningbo Professional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ League Two
