Result
2:1
12/07/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.19 | 0.73 |
Ball Possession |
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29% | 71% |
Total shots |
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13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Passes |
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68% (147/217) | 85% (469/549) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.19 | 0.73 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.39 | 1.09 |
Total shots |
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13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
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3 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 15 |
Passes |
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68% (147/217) | 85% (469/549) |
Long passes |
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35% (18/52) | 44% (22/50) |
Passes in final third |
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55% (36/66) | 66% (75/113) |
Crosses |
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24% (4/17) | 18% (3/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.05 | 0.76 |
Throw-ins |
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27 | 20 |
Fouls |
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15 | 15 |
Tackles |
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82% (14/17) | 56% (9/16) |
Duels won |
---|
55 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 11 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.09 | 2.39 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.01 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Antwi R. ⚽, Albarracin N. (A),
- 22', Gao J. 🟨,
- 36', 2 - 0, Antwi R. ⚽, Albarracin N. (A),
- 39', Li Yingjian ↓, Liang Rifu ↑,
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Lin F. ⚽, Tian Yifan (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lin F. ↓, Su Yuliang ↑,
- 48', Liang Rifu 🟨,
- 53', Huang Jiajun ↓, Zeng Y. ↑,
- 53', Huang K. ↓, Lu J. ↑,
- 57', Ruan Jun ↓, Wu Yuchen ↑,
- 58', He Mingli 🟨,
- 65', Chen Y. 🟨,
- 66', Antwi R. ↓, Zhang Shuai ↑,
- 70', Tian Yifan ↓, Gao K. ↑,
- 75', Yao-hsing Yu ↓, Zheng Junwei ↑,
- 77', Huang Chuqi ↓, Chen Guokang ↑,
- 77', Chen Y. ↓, Lin Zefeng ↑,
- 81', Albarracin N. ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
- 90+9', Zhang Zhihao ↓, Li Bowen ↑,
- 90+11', Zeng Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Foshan Nanshi 47.8% | Draw 28.2% | Shenzhen Juniors 24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Foshan Nanshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Foshan Nanshi's performance.Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shenzhen Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Foshan Nanshi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shenzhen Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Foshan Nanshi - Shenzhen Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↓ (2.62) |
3.24 ↑ (3) |
3.81 ↑ (2.53) |
9.4% (11.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Foshan Nanshi - Shenzhen Juniors?
Users Predictions:
Foshan Nanshi will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Foshan Nanshi will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).
- Recent form of Foshan Nanshi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Shenzhen Juniors has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Foshan Nanshi is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Foshan Nanshi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Foshan Nanshi won against Shenzhen Juniors?
Foshan Nanshi has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen Juniors won against Foshan Nanshi?
Shenzhen Juniors has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Foshan Nanshi - Shenzhen Juniors were as follows:
16.03.2025
Shenzhen Juniors
-
Foshan Nanshi
2:1
Latest results of Foshan Nanshi
Latest results of Shenzhen Juniors
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Liaoning Tieren | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 41:16 | 25 | 43 |
2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
3 | Yanbian Longding | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 31 |
4 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28:20 | 8 | 30 |
5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 24 |
7 | Dalian K'un City | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
8 | Nantong Zhiyun | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:21 | 0 | 22 |
9 | Shaanxi Union | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Suzhou Dongwu | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 21 |
11 | Dingnan Ganlian | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 20 |
12 | Nanjing City | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 20 |
14 | Foshan Nanshi | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
15 | Qingdao Red Lions | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
16 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League