Result
2:1
12/07/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (147/217) | 85% (469/549) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 2.19 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.39 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 19 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (147/217) | 85% (469/549) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/52) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 55% (36/66) | 66% (75/113) |
| Crosses |
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| 24% (4/17) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
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| 82% (14/17) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
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| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Antwi R. ⚽, Albarracin N. (A),
- 22', Gao J. 🟨,
- 36', 2 - 0, Antwi R. ⚽, Albarracin N. (A),
- 39', Li Yingjian ↓, Liang Rifu ↑,
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Lin F. ⚽, Tian Yifan (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lin F. ↓, Su Yuliang ↑,
- 48', Liang Rifu 🟨,
- 53', Huang Jiajun ↓, Zeng Y. ↑,
- 53', Huang K. ↓, Lu J. ↑,
- 57', Ruan Jun ↓, Wu Yuchen ↑,
- 58', He Mingli 🟨,
- 65', Chen Y. 🟨,
- 66', Antwi R. ↓, Zhang Shuai ↑,
- 70', Tian Yifan ↓, Gao K. ↑,
- 75', Yao-hsing Yu ↓, Zheng Junwei ↑,
- 77', Huang Chuqi ↓, Chen Guokang ↑,
- 77', Chen Y. ↓, Lin Zefeng ↑,
- 81', Albarracin N. ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
- 90+9', Zhang Zhihao ↓, Li Bowen ↑,
- 90+11', Zeng Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Foshan Nanshi
47.8% | Draw
28.2% | Shenzhen Juniors
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Foshan Nanshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Foshan Nanshi's performance.Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shenzhen Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Foshan Nanshi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shenzhen Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Foshan Nanshi - Shenzhen Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.62) |
3.24 ↑
(3) |
3.81 ↑
(2.53) |
9.4%
(11.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Foshan Nanshi - Shenzhen Juniors?
Users Predictions:
Foshan Nanshi will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Foshan Nanshi will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).
- Recent form of Foshan Nanshi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Shenzhen Juniors has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Foshan Nanshi is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Foshan Nanshi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Foshan Nanshi won against Shenzhen Juniors?
Foshan Nanshi has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen Juniors won against Foshan Nanshi?
Shenzhen Juniors has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Foshan Nanshi - Shenzhen Juniors were as follows:
16.03.2025
Shenzhen Juniors
-
Foshan Nanshi
2:1
Latest results of Foshan Nanshi
Latest results of Shenzhen Juniors
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 48:21 | 27 | 50 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 42:23 | 19 | 43 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33:26 | 7 | 34 |
| 4 | Yanbian Longding | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 33 |
| 5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 31 |
| 6 | Dalian K'un City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 7 | Dingnan Ganlian | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 28:25 | 3 | 29 |
| 8 | Nantong Zhiyun | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26:23 | 3 | 29 |
| 9 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Nanjing City | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Suzhou Dongwu | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 19:22 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | Shaanxi Union | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 20 |
| 14 | Foshan Nanshi | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19:34 | -15 | 18 |
| 15 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 17 |
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 13:28 | -15 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League
