Foshan Nanshi vs Shenzhen Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Jia League Foshan Nanshi - Shenzhen Juniors
Result
2:1
12/07/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Jia League - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.190.73
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
68% (147/217)85% (469/549)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
2.190.73
xG on target (xGOT)
2.391.09
Total shots
138
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1915
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1515
Passes
68% (147/217)85% (469/549)
Long passes
35% (18/52)44% (22/50)
Passes in final third
55% (36/66)66% (75/113)
Crosses
24% (4/17)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.76
Throw-ins
2720
Fouls
1515
Tackles
82% (14/17)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5549
Clearances
2211
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.092.39
Goals prevented
-0.010.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Antwi R. , Albarracin N. (A),
  • 22', Gao J. 🟨,
  • 36', 2 - 0, Antwi R. , Albarracin N. (A),
  • 39', Li Yingjian , Liang Rifu ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Lin F. , Tian Yifan (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lin F. , Su Yuliang ,
  • 48', Liang Rifu 🟨,
  • 53', Huang Jiajun , Zeng Y. ,
  • 53', Huang K. , Lu J. ,
  • 57', Ruan Jun , Wu Yuchen ,
  • 58', He Mingli 🟨,
  • 65', Chen Y. 🟨,
  • 66', Antwi R. , Zhang Shuai ,
  • 70', Tian Yifan , Gao K. ,
  • 75', Yao-hsing Yu , Zheng Junwei ,
  • 77', Huang Chuqi , Chen Guokang ,
  • 77', Chen Y. , Lin Zefeng ,
  • 81', Albarracin N. , Liu Xinyu ,
  • 90+9', Zhang Zhihao , Li Bowen ,
  • 90+11', Zeng Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Foshan Nanshi
47.8%
Draw
28.2%
Shenzhen Juniors
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 30% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 30.8% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Foshan Nanshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Foshan Nanshi's performance.
  • Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shenzhen Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Foshan Nanshi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shenzhen Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Foshan Nanshi - Shenzhen Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.62)
    3.24
    (3)
    3.81
    (2.53)
    9.4%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Foshan Nanshi - Shenzhen Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: Foshan Nanshi will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Foshan Nanshi will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).
    • Recent form of Foshan Nanshi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Shenzhen Juniors has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Foshan Nanshi is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Foshan Nanshi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Foshan Nanshi - Shenzhen Juniors were as follows:
    16.03.2025 Shenzhen Juniors - Foshan Nanshi 2:1
    Latest results of Shenzhen Juniors
    Chinese Jia League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liaoning Tieren18134141:162543
    2Chongqing Tonglianglong18124239:211840
    3Yanbian Longding1894521:17431
    4Guangdong GZ-Power1693428:20830
    5Shijiazhuang Gongfu1885527:21629
    6Shanghai Jiading Huilong1873818:24-624
    7Dalian K'un City1665521:21023
    8Nantong Zhiyun1764721:21022
    9Shaanxi Union1764724:25-122
    10Suzhou Dongwu1756618:17121
    11Dingnan Ganlian1648421:22-120
    12Nanjing City1755722:25-320
    13Shenzhen Juniors18621025:35-1020
    14Foshan Nanshi1845916:27-1117
    15Qingdao Red Lions17161010:22-129
    16Guangxi Pingguo Haliao1714129:27-187

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