Guangxi Pingguo Haliao vs Shenzhen Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
02/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Jia League - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.572.18
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
69% (183/265)79% (339/431)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.572.18
xG on target (xGOT)
2.021.81
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1529
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1620
Passes
69% (183/265)79% (339/431)
Long passes
39% (27/69)50% (50/101)
Passes in final third
52% (45/86)66% (77/116)
Crosses
26% (6/23)15% (4/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.58
Throw-ins
2427
Fouls
2115
Tackles
58% (7/12)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3239
Clearances
2324
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.812.02
Goals prevented
0.81-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Zhang Wei , Liu Hao (A),
  • 23', Lu Chenghe , Hu Jiajin ,
  • 32', Gao J. , Gao K. ,
  • 45+5', 1 - 1, Liu Hao (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Liu Hao , Yang Minjie ,
  • 46', Zhao S. , Nzuzi Mata K. ,
  • 60', Huang Jiajun 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Nzuzi Mata K. (Pen),
  • 66', Yao Diran , Fan Chao ,
  • 71', Xiang Rongjun , Wei Guoren ,
  • 71', You Wenjie , Chen Quanjiang ,
  • 75', Cheukoua M. 🟨,
  • 77', Shi Yucheng , Liang Rifu ,
  • 78', Huang K. , Lin F. ,
  • 82', Zhang Wei , Yang Jingfan ,
  • 83', Nzuzi Mata K. , Hu Ming ,
  • 84', Tian Yifan 🟨,
  • 90+4', Benhaddouche C. , Mai Sijing ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Cheukoua M. (Pen),
  • 90+15', Huang Jiajun , Han Guanghui ,
  • 90+17', 3 - 2, Zhu Yue , Hu Jiajin (A),
  • 90+18', Zhu Yue 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
40.3%
Draw
28.1%
Shenzhen Juniors
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 27.2% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 26% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shenzhen Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.2)
    3.28
    (3.3)
    2.92
    (2.8)
    8.4%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shenzhen Juniors?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Shenzhen Juniors (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Shenzhen Juniors (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shenzhen Juniors (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 13).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangxi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shenzhen Juniors were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 2:0
    Chinese Jia League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangdong GZ-Power650111:4715
    2Nantong Zhiyun64206:2414
    3Dingnan Ganlian63308:5312
    4Shenzhen Juniors64028:8012
    5Wuxi Wugou631211:6510
    6Yanbian Longding62315:239
    7Guangxi Hengchen63036:609
    8Dalian K'un City52127:707
    9Foshan Nanshi62047:9-26
    10Changchun Yatai63038:715
    11Shaanxi Union51222:3-15
    12Nanjing City61234:7-35
    13Shijiazhuang Gongfu61143:6-34
    14Suzhou Dongwu62044:6-23
    15Meizhou Hakka62044:12-83
    16Ningbo Professional61146:10-41

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