Shenzhen Juniors vs Qingdao Red Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
08/11/2025 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.83
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
66% (158/239)76% (250/329)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.620.20
Total shots
714
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1223
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
36
Free Kicks
1120
Passes
66% (158/239)76% (250/329)
Long passes
29% (17/58)41% (20/49)
Passes in final third
59% (39/66)60% (65/108)
Crosses
50% (4/8)47% (9/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.66
Throw-ins
2023
Fouls
2011
Tackles
75% (9/12)58% (7/12)
Duels won
3561
Clearances
2913
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.201.62
Goals prevented
-0.80-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Hu Ming (Pen),
  • 25', Lin F. 🟨,
  • 28', Yao Xuchen 🟨,
  • 38', Hu Ming , Lu J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Yao Xuchen , Zhou Jianyi ,
  • 46', Pi Ziyang , Chen Hao-Wei ,
  • 55', Nzuzi Mata K. 🟨,
  • 60', Jia Xiaochen , Rivaldinho ,
  • 62', Tian Yifan , Benhaddouche C. ,
  • 62', Lin F. , Su Yuliang ,
  • 70', 2 - 0, Lu J. , Benhaddouche C. (A),
  • 74', Leandro Alves 🟨,
  • 74', Zhou Xin 🟨,
  • 75', Lu K. , Zheng Haokun ,
  • 79', Xie Baoxian , Chen Y. ,
  • 83', Zhang Yixuan , Jiang Y. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Zheng Haokun , Zhou Jianyi (A),
  • 89', Zhao S. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Shi Yucheng , Han Guanghui ,
  • 90+1', Zhao S. , Mai Sijing ,
  • 90+3', Nobrega J. , Hao Yucheng ,

Chances of winning


Shenzhen Juniors
64.2%
Draw
21.1%
Qingdao Red Lions
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 24.5% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 20.4% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shenzhen Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Juniors's performance.
  • Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qingdao Red Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (-19.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Juniors that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qingdao Red Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Shenzhen Juniors - Qingdao Red Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.69)
    4.35
    (3.7)
    6.26
    (4.18)
    8.9%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Qingdao Red Lions is Relegated to League Two
    • Shenzhen Juniors has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Qingdao Red Lions is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Shenzhen Juniors is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen Juniors won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Shenzhen Juniors won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen Juniors - Qingdao Red Lions were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Qingdao Red Lions - Shenzhen Juniors 0:2
    17.05.2024 Shenzhen Juniors - Qingdao Red Lions 1:2
    Latest results of Shenzhen Juniors
    Latest results of Qingdao Red Lions
    Chinese Jia League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Yanbian Longding11003:033
    2Wuxi Wugou11002:023
    3Guangdong GZ-Power11002:023
    4Dingnan Ganlian11002:113
    5Nantong Zhiyun11002:113
    6Nanjing City11002:113
    7Dalian K'un City11002:113
    8Shenzhen Juniors11001:013
    9Shijiazhuang Gongfu10011:2-10
    10Guangxi Hengchen10011:2-10
    11Shaanxi Union10010:1-10
    12Foshan Nanshi10010:2-20
    13Suzhou Dongwu10011:2-1-3
    14Ningbo Professional10010:2-2-3
    15Meizhou Hakka10010:3-3-3
    16Changchun Yatai10011:2-1-4

          Promotion ~ Super League
          Relegation ~ League Two