Shenzhen Juniors vs Shaanxi Union – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/10/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Longhua sports center stadium (Shenzhen).

Jia League - Round 26
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.53	1.69
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
5	10
Passes
81% (239/294)	87% (384/443)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53	1.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.40	2.49
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
5	7
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
5	10
Touches in opposition box
10	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
12	16
Passes
81% (239/294)	87% (384/443)
Long passes
55% (28/51)	30% (8/27)
Passes in final third
67% (64/96)	71% (85/119)
Crosses
14% (2/14)	10% (2/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.26	0.84
Throw-ins
26	24
Fouls
16	12
Tackles
60% (6/10)	42% (5/12)
Duels won
32	39
Clearances
29	18
Interceptions
13	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
2.49	0.40
Goals prevented
-0.51	-2.60

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Marcic M. ⚽, Zhu G. (A),
12', 2 - 0, Nzuzi Mata K. ⚽, Liang Rifu (A),
25', Shi Yucheng 🟨,
33', Benhaddouche C. ↓, Mai Sijing ↑,
45+1', 2 - 1, Wei Zhiwei ⚽, Ma H. W. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Eysajan Elkut ↓, Xu Dongdong ↑,
46', Liang Rifu ↓, Chen Y. ↑,
46', Mai Sijing ↓, Su Yuliang ↑,
53', 3 - 1, Nzuzi Mata K. ⚽, Zhu G. (A),
55', 3 - 2, El Azrak R. ⚽,
62', 3 - 3, Ma H. W. ⚽, Aniwar Abduwahap (A),
68', Lin Zefeng ↓, Li Yingjian ↑,
73', Wei Zhiwei ↓, Li Xiaoyi ↑,
74', Xie Zhiwei ↓, Tan Kaiyuan ↑,
74', Aniwar Abduwahap ↓, Wei Yuren ↑,
82', Marcic M. 🟨,
88', Ma H. W. ↓, Yan Yu ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning

Shenzhen Juniors
30.2%

Draw
26.3%

Shaanxi Union
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

25.9%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

25.2%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Juniors's performance.

Shaanxi Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shaanxi Union might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shaanxi Union than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shaanxi Union could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shenzhen Juniors - Shaanxi Union Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.86)	3.6 ↑ (3.5)	2.18 ↑ (1.79)	5.3% (10.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Shenzhen Juniors - Shaanxi Union?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shenzhen Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Shaanxi Union will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shaanxi Union: 45% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shenzhen Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).
Shenzhen Juniors has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Shaanxi Union has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Shaanxi Union has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen Juniors won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Shenzhen Juniors won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen Juniors won against Shaanxi Union?

Shenzhen Juniors has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shaanxi Union won against Shenzhen Juniors?

Shaanxi Union has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen Juniors - Shaanxi Union were as follows:

01.06.2025 Shaanxi Union - Shenzhen Juniors 3:2

22.09.2024 Shaanxi Union - Shenzhen Juniors 2:1

17.08.2024 Shenzhen Juniors - Shaanxi Union 3:2

Latest results of Shenzhen Juniors

05.10.2025 Guangdong GZ-Power - Shenzhen Juniors 1:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Shenzhen Juniors - Dalian Kun City 1:3 ✺

21.09.2025 Shenzhen Juniors - Nantong Zhiyun 0:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Nanjing City - Shenzhen Juniors 3:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Shenzhen Juniors - Yanbian Longding 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Shaanxi Union

05.10.2025 Shaanxi Union - Shanghai Jiading Huilong 3:1 ✺

26.09.2025 Nantong Zhiyun - Shaanxi Union 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Shaanxi Union - Yanbian Longding 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Shaanxi Union - Liaoning Tieren 3:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Shaanxi Union - Guangdong GZ-Power 1:2 ✺

Chinese Jia League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Liaoning Tieren	27	18	7	2	57:26	31	61
2	Chongqing Tonglianglong	27	17	4	6	50:32	18	55
3	Guangdong GZ-Power	27	16	5	6	46:30	16	53
4	Yanbian Longding	27	13	7	7	34:24	10	46
5	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	27	12	8	7	37:29	8	44
6	Nantong Zhiyun	27	12	7	8	43:26	17	43
7	Dingnan Ganlian	27	10	10	7	37:32	5	40
8	Dalian K'un City	27	10	8	9	36:34	2	38
9	Shaanxi Union	27	9	8	10	41:41	0	35
10	Nanjing City	27	8	8	11	35:39	-4	32
11	Suzhou Dongwu	27	7	10	10	22:28	-6	31
12	Shanghai Jiading Huilong	27	8	6	13	24:38	-14	30
13	Foshan Nanshi	27	6	7	14	25:43	-18	25
14	Shenzhen Juniors	27	7	3	17	35:56	-21	24
15	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	27	5	7	15	21:39	-18	22
16	Qingdao Red Lions	27	2	7	18	15:41	-26	13

Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League