Result
3:1
26/07/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (208/303) | 73% (271/369) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (208/303) | 73% (271/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (25/72) | 43% (32/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (48/99) | 53% (51/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.44 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 25', 1 - 0, Pedro H. ⚽, Taty Maritu O. (A),
- 33', 2 - 0, Mawlanniyaz D. ⚽, Ionita II A. (A),
- 42', 2 - 1, Wesley Moraes ⚽, Garcia E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Shen H. 🟨,
- 58', Zhang Xiaobin ↓, Orr M. ↑,
- 81', Garcia E. ↓, Tiago Leonco ↑,
- 82', Liao Lisheng ↓, Zhang Yudong ↑,
- 82', Zhang Wei ↓, Li Ning ↑,
- 87', Ionita II A. ↓, Zhao Yuhao ↑,
- 87', Han Zilong ↓, Ye Chugui ↑,
- 90', Jiang Zhipeng ↓, Li Zhi ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, Saeter J. ⚽,
- 90+6', Burca A. ↓, Zhang Chenliang ↑,
- 90+9', Pedro H. ↓, Yin Congyao ↑,
- 90+9', Saeter J. ↓, Luo Jing ↑,
Chances of winning
Yunnan Yukun
53.4% | Draw
24.6% | Shenzhen Peng City
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yunnan Yukun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Yunnan Yukun - Shenzhen Peng City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.76) |
3.83 ↑
(3.81) |
4.29 ↓
(4.37) |
6.8%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun - Shenzhen Peng City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Yunnan Yukun will win
(12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Shenzhen Peng City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Shenzhen Peng City has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Yunnan Yukun is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Tsui Wang-Kit
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Zhang Yujie
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Yunnan Yukun: Yi Teng
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yunnan Yukun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Yunnan Yukun won against Shenzhen Peng City?
Yunnan Yukun has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen Peng City won against Yunnan Yukun?
Shenzhen Peng City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yunnan Yukun - Shenzhen Peng City were as follows:
28.03.2025
Shenzhen Peng City
-
Yunnan Yukun
3:4
Latest results of Yunnan Yukun
Latest results of Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Port | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 51:27 | 24 | 47 |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 47:25 | 22 | 45 |
| 3 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 43 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 44:25 | 19 | 42 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 27:29 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | Zhejiang Professional | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 42:34 | 8 | 29 |
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 33:38 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Dalian Yingbo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 29 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 11 | Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 33:40 | -7 | 19 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 20 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 25:46 | -21 | 17 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 26:44 | -18 | 16 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 20:32 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 16:36 | -20 | 9 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
