Sherbrooke Phoenix vs Shawinigan Cataractes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5 OT
01/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • QMJHL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 01:43, 1 - 0, Tremblay L. (G), McNeil B. (A), Lampron O. (A2)
  • 03:53, 2 - 0, Rousseau T. (G), Bellemare C. (A),
  • 18:27, 2 - 1, Bergeron F. (G),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 05:35, 3 - 1, Houle F. (G), Giroux E. (A), Bellemare C. (A2)
  • 10:29, 3 - 2, Hockley D. (G), Plante M. (A), Klima J. (A2)
  • 19:55, 4 - 2, Houle F. (G), Poirier L. (A), Lampron O. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 03:02, 4 - 3, Laframboise D. (G), Elie V. (A), Plamondon F. (A2)
  • 19:05, 4 - 4, Charron O. (G), Klima J. (A), Schneider E. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 16:47, 4 - 5, Dupuis K. (G), Charron O. (A), Lanthier J. (A2)

Chances of winning


Sherbrooke Phoenix
32.9%
Draw
21.9%
Shawinigan Cataractes
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 22% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 24.2% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sherbrooke Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sherbrooke Phoenix's form might have worsened.
  • Shawinigan Cataractes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shawinigan Cataractes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sherbrooke Phoenix than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sherbrooke Phoenix, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shawinigan Cataractes than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shawinigan Cataractes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sherbrooke Phoenix - Shawinigan Cataractes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.4)
    4.19
    (4.19)
    2.04
    (2.31)
    8.7%
    (8.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Sherbrooke Phoenix leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.
    • Sherbrooke is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Shawinigan is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sherbrooke won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sherbrooke won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 59:75. (average 3:3.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sherbrooke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:36. (average 2.7:4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sherbrooke Phoenix - Shawinigan Cataractes were as follows:
    31.03.2026 Sherbrooke Phoenix - Shawinigan Cataractes 1:2
    28.03.2026 Shawinigan Cataractes - Sherbrooke Phoenix 1:4
    27.03.2026 Shawinigan Cataractes - Sherbrooke Phoenix 2:4
    18.01.2026 Sherbrooke Phoenix - Shawinigan Cataractes 2:6
    16.01.2026 Shawinigan Cataractes - Sherbrooke Phoenix 4:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Moncton Wildcats (1)Saint John Sea Dogs (8)4 : 0
    2Chicoutimi Sagueneens (2)Halifax Mooseheads (7)4 : 0
    3Newfoundland Regiment (3)Cape Breton Eagles (6)3 : 1
    4Charlottetown Islanders (4)Quebec Remparts (5)2 : 2
    5Rouyn-Noranda Huskies (1)Gatineau Olympiques (8)3 : 1
    6Blainville-Boisbriand Armada (2)Victoriaville Tigres (7)4 : 0
    7Drummondville Voltigeurs (3)Val-d'Or Foreurs (6)1 : 3
    8Shawinigan Cataractes (4)Sherbrooke Phoenix (5)2 : 2