Sherbrooke Phoenix vs Shawinigan Cataractes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey QMJHL Sherbrooke Phoenix - Shawinigan Cataractes
Result
3:6
05/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • QMJHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 02:03, 0 - 1, Elie V. (G), Schneider E. (A),
  • 03:04, 1 - 1, Houle F. (G), Kolmakov I. (A),
  • 04:28, 1 - 2, Klima J. (G), Lygitsakos C. (A),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 3)
  • 04:25, 1 - 3, Lacerte F. (G), Elie V. (A), Tourigny J. (A2)
  • 09:37, 1 - 4, Elie V. (G), Lacerte F. (A),
  • 19:15, 2 - 4, Benoit R. (G), Bourdeau E. (A), Kolmakov I. (A2)
  • 19:46, 2 - 5, Lacerte F. (G), Elie V. (A),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 08:15, 2 - 6, Tourigny J. (G), Lygitsakos C. (A), Chandler C. (A2)
  • 15:37, 3 - 6, Plouffe J. (G), Bellemare C. (A), Benoit R. (A2)

Chances of winning


Sherbrooke Phoenix
30.6%
Draw
21.1%
Shawinigan Cataractes
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 22% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 22.1% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sherbrooke Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sherbrooke Phoenix's form might have worsened.
  • Shawinigan Cataractes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shawinigan Cataractes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sherbrooke Phoenix than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sherbrooke Phoenix, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shawinigan Cataractes than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shawinigan Cataractes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sherbrooke Phoenix - Shawinigan Cataractes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (2.54)
    4.43
    (4.27)
    1.94
    (2.29)
    6.8%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sherbrooke won 0.
    • Sherbrooke has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shawinigan has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Shawinigan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Sherbrooke has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Sherbrooke will win today's game, with odds of 2.54.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sherbrooke won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 64:67. (average 3.2:3.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sherbrooke won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:33. (average 3.7:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sherbrooke Phoenix - Shawinigan Cataractes were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Sherbrooke Phoenix - Shawinigan Cataractes 2:3
    15.04.2025 Sherbrooke Phoenix - Shawinigan Cataractes 2:4
    12.04.2025 Shawinigan Cataractes - Sherbrooke Phoenix 5:2
    11.04.2025 Shawinigan Cataractes - Sherbrooke Phoenix 5:4
    02.03.2025 Sherbrooke Phoenix - Shawinigan Cataractes 2:4
    QMJHL Table
    2025/26

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPtsPts
    1Blainville-Boisbriand Armada9612052:22161.78
    2Rouyn-Noranda Huskies10503234:30131.30
    3Sherbrooke Phoenix8330231:25121.50
    4Gatineau Olympiques11420530:34121.09
    5Shawinigan Cataractes8312232:27101.25
    6Drummondville Voltigeurs9312328:33101.11
    7Victoriaville Tigres8130432:3781.00
    8Val-d'Or Foreurs10302529:3980.80


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPtsPts
    1Charlottetown Islanders11532141:37181.64
    2Moncton Wildcats9322236:33121.33
    3Halifax Mooseheads9420331:29121.33
    4Chicoutimi Sagueneens8411228:22111.38
    5Saint John Sea Dogs9501335:32111.22
    6Newfoundland Regiment10320538:43101.00
    7Rimouski Oceanic9311427:3291.00
    8Quebec Remparts10221533:3390.90
    9Cape Breton Eagles8113319:2570.88
    10Baie-Comeau Drakkar10003717:4030.30

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