Sheriff Tiraspol vs Milsami Orhei – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
11/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Liga - Championship Group - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
moldovaMoldovaLiga TV, We Sport

Match Stats

Yellow cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Asprilla Moreno J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 39', 1 - 1, Koy Lupano D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 65', 2 - 1, Asprilla Moreno J. ,
  • 76', 3 - 1, Asprilla Moreno J. ,
  • 87', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sheriff Tiraspol
54.6%
Draw
26%
Milsami Orhei
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.5% 22% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9% 20.8% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sheriff Tiraspol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Milsami Orhei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheriff Tiraspol than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sheriff Tiraspol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milsami Orhei than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Sheriff Tiraspol - Milsami Orhei Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.54)
    3.51
    (4.17)
    4.72
    (4.93)
    9.5%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sheriff won 2.
    • Sheriff is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Milsami has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Milsami has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Sheriff is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Sheriff will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sheriff won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:14. (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sheriff won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 1.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sheriff Tiraspol - Milsami Orhei were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Milsami Orhei - Sheriff Tiraspol 1:0
    24.08.2025 Sheriff Tiraspol - Milsami Orhei 1:1
    05.07.2025 Milsami Orhei - Sheriff Tiraspol 1:2
    24.05.2025 Milsami Orhei - Sheriff Tiraspol 1:2
    18.05.2025 Sheriff Tiraspol - Milsami Orhei 0:0
    Latest results of Sheriff Tiraspol
    Latest results of Milsami Orhei
    Moldovan Super Liga Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Petrocub760113:21133
    2Zimbru Chisinau742113:8528
    3Sheriff Tiraspol751111:4727
    4Balti72143:8-515
    5Milsami71243:9-615
    6Dacia Buiucani70074:16-121

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