Result
0:1
26/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (213/295) | 78% (295/380) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (213/295) | 78% (295/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (31/75) | 48% (27/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (48/91) | 59% (75/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 16% (5/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Ma Chongchong 🟨,
- 38', Liu Shibo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Chen Hao-Wei ↓, Jia Xiaochen ↑,
- 64', Sun Weizhe ↓, An Yifei ↑,
- 64', Gao Huaze ↓, Wang Jingbin ↑,
- 67', Lu K. ↓, Shi Zhe ↑,
- 67', Song Bowei ↓, Song Runtong ↑,
- 78', Ayovi J. ↓, Deng Jiajie ↑,
- 84', Zhang Yixuan ↓, Zhao Chengle ↑,
- 85', Xu Junchi 🟨,
- 87', 0 - 1, Gonzalez E. ⚽,
- 90+1', Gonzalez E. ↓, Zhao Z. ↑,
- 90+1', Xu Junchi ↓, Kurban I. ↑,
- 90+5', Kurban I. 🟨,
- 90+7', Leandro Alves 🟨,
- 90+7', Wang Jingbin 🟨,
- 90+10', Nobrega J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Qingdao Red Lions
29.2% | Draw
30.4% | Shijiazhuang Gongfu
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qingdao Red Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shijiazhuang Gongfu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Qingdao Red Lions - Shijiazhuang Gongfu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↓
(3.43) |
3.06 ↓
(3.2) |
2.3 ↑
(2.02) |
7.7%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Qingdao Red Lions - Shijiazhuang Gongfu?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 7).
- Recent form of Qingdao Red Lions has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Red Lions won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Red Lions won against Shijiazhuang Gongfu?
Qingdao Red Lions has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shijiazhuang Gongfu won against Qingdao Red Lions?
Shijiazhuang Gongfu has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao Red Lions - Shijiazhuang Gongfu were as follows:
17.05.2025
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
-
Qingdao Red Lions
0:2
18.08.2024
Qingdao Red Lions
-
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1:1
31.03.2024
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
-
Qingdao Red Lions
2:0
Latest results of Qingdao Red Lions
Latest results of Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 50:25 | 25 | 51 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 44:27 | 17 | 46 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 43 |
| 4 | Yanbian Longding | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 39 |
| 5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 38 |
| 6 | Nantong Zhiyun | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:24 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Dingnan Ganlian | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | Dalian K'un City | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 31:27 | 4 | 35 |
| 9 | Nanjing City | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 31:31 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Shaanxi Union | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Suzhou Dongwu | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19:29 | -10 | 26 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 31:48 | -17 | 23 |
| 14 | Foshan Nanshi | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22:37 | -15 | 22 |
| 15 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19:33 | -14 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League
