Result
1:2
17/10/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 49% | 68% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (32/46) | 71% (49/69) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (17/48) | 34% (11/32) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 67% (6/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 29% (20/69) | 59% (27/46) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (21/32) | 65% (31/48) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 36% (5/14) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 6 | 25 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 100% (9/0) | 52% (15/29) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (49/92) | 59% (60/101) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (41/101) | 47% (43/92) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (90/193) | 53% (103/193) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 77% (10/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 38% (5/13) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 58% (15/26) |
Chances of winning
Shintaro Mochizuki
37.3% | Alex Michelsen
62.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Michelsen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.41) |
|
1.52 ↓
(1.53) |
4.7%
(6.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Michelsen?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mochizuki (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 102. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 36.
- Mochizuki is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Michelsen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mochizuki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Michelsen might have a minor edge in this game.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Shintaro Mochizuki won against Alex Michelsen?
Shintaro Mochizuki has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex Michelsen won against Shintaro Mochizuki?
Alex Michelsen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Michelsen were as follows:
Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
Latest results of Alex Michelsen
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Khachanov K. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Struff J-L. | McDonald M. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Djere L. | Shevchenko A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Tomic B. (Q) | Moutet C. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Darderi L. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Cazaux A. | Mochizuki S. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Vukic A. | Topo M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Zhukayev B. (WC) | Michelsen A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Diallo G. (7) | Omarkhanov A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Blanchet U. (Q) | Duckworth J. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Hijikata R. (LL) | Skatov T. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Cobolli F. (3) | |
| 13 | Nakashima B. (5) | Medjedovic H. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Marozsan F. | Nardi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Schoolkate T. | Walton A. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Medvedev D. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Khachanov K. (1) | Struff J-L. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Shevchenko A. | Moutet C. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Darderi L. (4) | Mochizuki S. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Vukic A. | Michelsen A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Diallo G. (7) | Duckworth J. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Hijikata R. | Cobolli F. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Nakashima B. (5) | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Walton A. | Medvedev D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Struff J-L. | Moutet C. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Mochizuki S. | Michelsen A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Duckworth J. | Cobolli F. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Marozsan F. | Medvedev D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Moutet C. (8) | Michelsen A. (6) | |
| 2 | Duckworth J. | Medvedev D. (2) | |
Final
