Result
2:0
12/08/2025 at 14:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sumter, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 52% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (33/44) | 55% (33/60) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (18/41) | 55% (18/33) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 67% (8/12) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (27/60) | 25% (11/44) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (15/33) | 56% (23/41) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 30% (3/10) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 41 | 36 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (15/25) | 67% (16/24) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (51/85) | 55% (51/93) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (42/93) | 40% (34/85) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (93/178) | 48% (85/178) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 67% (8/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 25% (3/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 46% (11/24) |
Chances of winning
Shintaro Mochizuki
75.2% | Alex Rybakov
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shintaro Mochizuki's performance.Alex Rybakov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Rybakov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Rybakov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.26 ↓
(1.36) |
|
3.74 ↑
(3) |
6.3%
(6.9%) | |
Preview Facts
- Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 120. Rybakov is ranked ATP: 311.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Mochizuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mochizuki is considered a favorite.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Shintaro Mochizuki won against Alex Rybakov?
Shintaro Mochizuki has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex Rybakov won against Shintaro Mochizuki?
Alex Rybakov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Rybakov were as follows:
Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
Latest results of Alex Rybakov
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Bergs Z. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lajal M. (Alt) | Kirchheimer S. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Bigun K. (WC) | Sakamoto R. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Habib H. | Faria J. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bellucci M. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Rocha H. (Alt) | Damm M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | McCabe J. | Fearnley J. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Seggerman R. (RET.) (Q) | Klein L. (8) | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Mochizuki S. (7) | Rybakov A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Poling K. (LL) | Evans D. | |
| 11 | Trotter J. K. (Alt) | Landaluce M. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Misolic F. (4) | |
| 13 | Basilashvili N. (6) | Eubanks C. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Blanch Dar. (WC) | Cassone M. (Alt) | |
| 15 | Nishioka Y. | Shimabukuro S. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Shevchenko A. (5) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Bergs Z. (1) | Lajal M. | |
| 2 | Bigun K. | Faria J. (9) | |
| 3 | Bellucci M. (3) | Rocha H. | |
| 4 | McCabe J. | Klein L. (8) | |
| 5 | Mochizuki S. (7) | TBD #10 | |
| 6 | Trotter J. K. | Misolic F. (4) | |
| 7 | Basilashvili N. (6) | TBD #14 | |
| 8 | Shimabukuro S. | Shevchenko A. (5) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
