Arthur Cazaux vs Shintaro Mochizuki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
15/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
91
Double Faults
03
1st Serve Percentage
82%61%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (34/46)79% (30/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
20% (2/10)58% (14/24)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)100% (2/2)
1st Return Points Won
37% (14/38)28% (13/46)
2nd Return Points Won
42% (10/24)80% (8/10)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/2)67% (2/3)
Winners
1719
Unforced Errors
47
Net Points Won
75% (6/8)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
64% (36/56)71% (44/62)
Return Points Won
29% (18/62)36% (20/56)
Total Points Won
46% (54/118)54% (64/118)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)100% (10/10)
Return Games Won
0% (0/10)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Arthur Cazaux
72.9%
Shintaro Mochizuki
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.5% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arthur Cazaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Cazaux's performance.
  • Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shintaro Mochizuki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Cazaux that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shintaro Mochizuki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arthur Cazaux - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.45)

    3.5
    (2.75)
    4.3%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Arthur Cazaux - Shintaro Mochizuki?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cazaux will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cazaux: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cazaux (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mochizuki (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cazaux is ranked ATP: 70. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 102.
    • Cazaux has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Mochizuki has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mochizuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cazaux might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Cazaux will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cazaux won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arthur Cazaux - Shintaro Mochizuki were as follows:
    11.10.2025 Arthur Cazaux - Shintaro Mochizuki 2:0
    25.08.2023 Shintaro Mochizuki - Arthur Cazaux 0:2
    Latest results of Arthur Cazaux
    Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Khachanov K. (1)Bye
    2Struff J-L.McDonald M.2 : 1
    3Djere L.Shevchenko A.0 : 2
    4Tomic B. (Q)Moutet C. (8)0 : 2
    5Darderi L. (4)Bye
    6Cazaux A.Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    7Vukic A.Topo M. (Q)2 : 1
    8Zhukayev B. (WC)Michelsen A. (6)0 : 2
    9Diallo G. (7)Omarkhanov A. (WC)2 : 0
    10Blanchet U. (Q)Duckworth J. (Q)0 : 2
    11Hijikata R. (LL)Skatov T. (WC)2 : 1
    12ByeCobolli F. (3)
    13Nakashima B. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 0
    14Marozsan F.Nardi L.2 : 0
    15Schoolkate T.Walton A.1 : 2
    16ByeMedvedev D. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Khachanov K. (1)Struff J-L.1 : 2
    2Shevchenko A.Moutet C. (8)0 : 2
    3Darderi L. (4)Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    4Vukic A.Michelsen A. (6)0 : 2
    5Diallo G. (7)Duckworth J.1 : 2
    6Hijikata R.Cobolli F. (3)0 : 2
    7Nakashima B. (5)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    8Walton A.Medvedev D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Struff J-L.Moutet C. (8)0 : 2
    2Mochizuki S.Michelsen A. (6)1 : 2
    3Duckworth J.Cobolli F. (3)2 : 0
    4Marozsan F.Medvedev D. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Moutet C. (8)Michelsen A. (6)2 : 0
    2Duckworth J.Medvedev D. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Moutet C. (8)Medvedev D. (2)1 : 2