Bernard Tomic vs Shintaro Mochizuki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Jinan Challenger Men Bernard Tomic - Shintaro Mochizuki
Result
0:2
10/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
47
Double Faults
37
1st Serve Percentage
62%37%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (20/33)84% (21/25)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (9/20)52% (22/42)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)100% (5/5)
1st Return Points Won
16% (4/25)39% (13/33)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (20/42)55% (11/20)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/5)38% (3/8)
Service Points Won
55% (29/53)64% (43/67)
Return Points Won
36% (24/67)45% (24/53)
Total Points Won
44% (53/120)56% (67/120)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
63% (5/8)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)38% (3/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Bernard Tomic
41.8%
Shintaro Mochizuki
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 56.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Bernard Tomic - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.06)

    1.61
    (1.65)
    6.5%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Bernard Tomic - Shintaro Mochizuki?
  • Users Predictions: Shintaro Mochizuki will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shintaro Mochizuki will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tomic is ranked ATP: 168. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 102.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Mochizuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tomic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bernard Tomic - Shintaro Mochizuki were as follows:
    25.03.2025 Shintaro Mochizuki - Bernard Tomic 1:2
    Latest results of Bernard Tomic
    Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Blanchet U.2 : 0
    2O'Connell C. (RET.)Draxl L.1 : 0
    3Yevseyev D. (Q)Hijikata R.0 : 2
    4Zhou Y. (WC)Schoolkate T. (5)2 : 0
    5Svrcina D. (4)Tomic B.1 : 2
    6Watanuki Y.Harris B.1 : 2
    7Jacquet K. (Q)Samrej K. (Q)2 : 0
    8McCabe J. (Alt)Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    9Duckworth J. (8)Smith C.0 : 2
    10Droguet T.Cui J. (WC)2 : 0
    11Bar Biryukov P. (Q)Daniel T.2 : 1
    12Wong C.Djere L. (3)2 : 0
    13McDonald M. (6)Mayot H.2 : 0
    14Kotov P. (Q)Holmgren A.2 : 0
    15Holt B.Zhukov M. (Q)2 : 1
    16Sun F. (WC)Walton A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Draxl L.2 : 0
    2Hijikata R.Zhou Y.1 : 2
    3Tomic B.Harris B.2 : 1
    4Jacquet K.Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    5Smith C.Droguet T.2 : 1
    6Bar Biryukov P.Wong C.2 : 1
    7McDonald M. (6)Kotov P.2 : 0
    8Holt B.Walton A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Zhou Y.2 : 1
    2Tomic B.Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    3Smith C.Bar Biryukov P.0 : 2
    4McDonald M. (6)Holt B.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Mochizuki S. (7)2 : 0
    2Bar Biryukov P.McDonald M. (6)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cazaux A. (1)McDonald M. (6)2 : 0