Shintaro Mochizuki vs Bernard Tomic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Morelia Challenger Men Shintaro Mochizuki - Bernard Tomic
Result
1:2
25/03/2025 at 17:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
29
Double Faults
90
1st Serve Percentage
52%53%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (39/56)76% (41/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (22/52)50% (24/48)
Break Points Saved
62% (8/13)83% (10/12)
1st Return Points Won
24% (13/54)30% (17/56)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (24/48)58% (30/52)
Break Points Converted
17% (2/12)38% (5/13)
Service Points Won
56% (61/108)64% (65/101)
Return Points Won
36% (36/101)44% (47/108)
Total Points Won
46% (97/209)54% (112/209)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)87% (13/15)
Return Games Won
13% (2/15)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
38% (11/29)62% (18/29)

Chances of winning


Shintaro Mochizuki
61.3%
Bernard Tomic
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shintaro Mochizuki's performance.
  • Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bernard Tomic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shintaro Mochizuki that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bernard Tomic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Shintaro Mochizuki - Bernard Tomic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.69)

    2.39
    (2.08)
    7.5%
    (7.3%)
    What is the prediction for Shintaro Mochizuki - Bernard Tomic?
  • Users Predictions: Shintaro Mochizuki will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 155. Tomic is ranked ATP: 219.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Mochizuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Mochizuki will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
    Latest results of Bernard Tomic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC)2 : 0
    2Perez A. (Q)Zink T. (Q)0 : 2
    3Mejia N.Hernandez A. (WC)1 : 2
    4Svajda Z.Ficovich J. P. (8)0 : 2
    5Holt B. (3)Huesler M.0 : 2
    6McCabe J.Trotter J. K.1 : 2
    7Rodionov J.Zhukayev B. (Alt)0 : 2
    8Meligeni Alves F.Galarneau A. (7)2 : 1
    9Mannarino A. (5)Napolitano S. (Q)2 : 0
    10Atmane T.Popko D. (Alt)1 : 2
    11Cassone M. (Alt)Ejupovic E. (Q)2 : 1
    12Neuchrist M. (Q)Tirante T. A. (4)0 : 2
    13Mochizuki S. (6)Tomic B. (Alt)1 : 2
    14Lajal M.Pacheco Mendez R. (WC)2 : 0
    15Pannu K. (Q)Grenier H.0 : 2
    16Lestienne C. (RET.)Eubanks C. (2)0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Zink T.2 : 0
    2Hernandez A.Ficovich J. P. (8)2 : 0
    3Huesler M.Trotter J. K.2 : 0
    4Zhukayev B.Meligeni Alves F.2 : 0
    5Mannarino A. (5)Popko D.0 : 2
    6Cassone M.Tirante T. A. (4)1 : 2
    7Tomic B.Lajal M.2 : 1
    8Grenier H.Eubanks C. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Hernandez A.2 : 0
    2Huesler M.Zhukayev B.1 : 2
    3Popko D.Tirante T. A. (4)2 : 0
    4Tomic B.Grenier H.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Zhukayev B.2 : 0
    2Popko D.Grenier H.2 : 0

    Final
    1Duckworth J. (1)Popko D.1 : 2