Result
0:2
10/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 37% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (20/33) | 84% (21/25) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 52% (22/42) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 100% (5/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 39% (13/33) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 55% (11/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 38% (3/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (29/53) | 64% (43/67) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (24/67) | 45% (24/53) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (53/120) | 56% (67/120) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 100% (9/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 38% (3/8) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 71% (12/17) |
Chances of winning
Bernard Tomic
41.8% | Shintaro Mochizuki
58.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Bernard Tomic - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.06) |
|
1.61 ↓
(1.65) |
6.5%
(9.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Bernard Tomic - Shintaro Mochizuki?
Users Predictions:
Shintaro Mochizuki will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shintaro Mochizuki will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Tomic is ranked ATP: 168. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 102.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Mochizuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tomic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Bernard Tomic won against Shintaro Mochizuki?
Bernard Tomic has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shintaro Mochizuki won against Bernard Tomic?
Shintaro Mochizuki has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bernard Tomic - Shintaro Mochizuki were as follows:
25.03.2025
Shintaro Mochizuki
-
Bernard Tomic
1:2
Latest results of Bernard Tomic
Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cazaux A. (1) | Blanchet U. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | O'Connell C. (RET.) | Draxl L. | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Yevseyev D. (Q) | Hijikata R. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Zhou Y. (WC) | Schoolkate T. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Svrcina D. (4) | Tomic B. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Watanuki Y. | Harris B. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Jacquet K. (Q) | Samrej K. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | McCabe J. (Alt) | Mochizuki S. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Duckworth J. (8) | Smith C. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Droguet T. | Cui J. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Bar Biryukov P. (Q) | Daniel T. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Wong C. | Djere L. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | McDonald M. (6) | Mayot H. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Kotov P. (Q) | Holmgren A. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Holt B. | Zhukov M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Sun F. (WC) | Walton A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cazaux A. (1) | Draxl L. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Hijikata R. | Zhou Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Tomic B. | Harris B. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Jacquet K. | Mochizuki S. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Smith C. | Droguet T. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Bar Biryukov P. | Wong C. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | McDonald M. (6) | Kotov P. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Holt B. | Walton A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cazaux A. (1) | Zhou Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Tomic B. | Mochizuki S. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Smith C. | Bar Biryukov P. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | McDonald M. (6) | Holt B. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cazaux A. (1) | Mochizuki S. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bar Biryukov P. | McDonald M. (6) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Cazaux A. (1) | McDonald M. (6) | 2 : 0 |
