Shintaro Mochizuki vs Gastao Elias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Challenger Shintaro Mochizuki - Gastao Elias
Result
1:2
09/03/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PUERTO VALLARTA (MEXICO), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Official Live

Chances of winning


Shintaro Mochizuki
48.9%
Gastao Elias
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8% 40.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.
  • Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gastao Elias's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gastao Elias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shintaro Mochizuki - Gastao Elias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.62)

    1.82
    (2.17)
    7.2%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Shintaro Mochizuki - Gastao Elias?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Elias will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elias: 40%93.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mochizuki in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Elias is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Mochizuki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Our prediction for today's Mochizuki to win the game is with odds 1.86.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Gastao Elias