Shintaro Mochizuki vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Toronto Shintaro Mochizuki - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Result
0:2
27/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats

Aces
56
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
46%58%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (17/26)83% (24/29)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (14/31)62% (13/21)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)100% (1/1)
1st Return Points Won
21% (6/29)46% (12/26)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (8/21)55% (17/31)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)75% (3/4)
Winners
1514
Unforced Errors
2820
Net Points Won
73% (11/15)75% (3/4)
Service Points Won
56% (31/55)74% (37/50)
Return Points Won
26% (13/50)44% (24/55)
Total Points Won
42% (44/105)58% (61/105)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Shintaro Mochizuki
37.7%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.
  • Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shintaro Mochizuki - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (1.9)

    1.57
    (1.9)
    3.4%
    (5.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 123. Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 45.
    • Mochizuki has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mpetshi Perricard has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mochizuki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Walton A.Bonzi B.2 : 1
    3Schoolkate T. (Q)Fonseca J.
    4ByeArnaldi M. (32)
    5Griekspoor T. (24)Bye
    6Herbert P. (Q)Etcheverry T. M.1 : 2
    7Martin D. (Q)Munar J.
    8ByeCerundolo F. (14)
    9Medvedev D. (10)Bye
    10Blockx A. (Q)Svrcina D. (LL)
    11Arseneault N. (WC)Royer V. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByePopyrin A. (18)
    13Muller A. (29)Bye
    14Kecmanovic M.Halys Q.2 : 1
    15Mochizuki S. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.0 : 2
    16ByeRune H. (5)
    17Musetti L. (3)Bye
    18Shang J.Duckworth J. (Q)0 : 2
    19Monfils G.Barrios Vera T. (Q)1 : 2
    20ByeMichelsen A. (26)
    21Shapovalov D. (22)Bye
    22Smith C. (Q)Tien L.0 : 2
    23Ofner S. (PR)Opelka R.0 : 2
    24ByeMachac T. (16)
    25Khachanov K. (11)Bye
    26Fearnley J.Ficovich J. P. (Q)0 : 2
    27Nava E. (Q)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    28ByeHumbert U. (17)
    29Borges N. (30)Bye
    30Bagnis F. (Q)Pospisil V. (WC)2 : 1
    31Safiullin R.Blanchet U. (Q)2 : 1
    32ByeRuud C. (8)
    33Tiafoe F. (7)Bye
    34Watanuki Y. (Q)Altmaier D.
    35Vukic A.Martinez P.
    36ByeNorrie C. (31)
    37Tsitsipas S. (23)Bye
    38O'Connell C.Tseng C. H. (LL)
    39Comesana F.Dzumhur D.
    40ByeDe Minaur A. (9)
    41Cobolli F. (13)Bye
    42Rinderknech A.Galarneau A. (WC)
    43Marozsan F.Dellien H.
    44ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (25)Bye
    46Quinn E.Nishioka Y.
    47Giron M.Mannarino A. (Q)
    48ByeShelton B. (4)
    49Rublev A. (6)Bye
    50Bellucci M.Gaston H.
    51Kopriva V.Bu Y.
    52ByeSonego L. (28)
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    54Moutet C.Brooksby J. (PR)
    55Boyer T. (Q)Kovacevic A.
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Fils A. (15)Bye
    58Draxl L. (WC)Carreno-Busta P.
    59McDonald M.Goffin D.
    60ByeLehecka J. (19)
    61Diallo G. (27)Bye
    62Coric B.Gigante M. (WC)
    63Carballes Baena R.Ugo Carabelli C.
    64ByeFritz T. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Walton A.
    2TBD #3Arnaldi M. (32)
    3Griekspoor T. (24)Etcheverry T. M.
    4TBD #7Cerundolo F. (14)
    5Medvedev D. (10)TBD #10
    6Arseneault N.Popyrin A. (18)
    7Muller A. (29)Kecmanovic M.
    8Mpetshi Perricard G.Rune H. (5)
    9Musetti L. (3)Duckworth J.
    10Barrios Vera T.Michelsen A. (26)
    11Shapovalov D. (22)Tien L.
    12Opelka R.Machac T. (16)
    13Khachanov K. (11)Ficovich J. P.
    14Nava E.Humbert U. (17)
    15Borges N. (30)Bagnis F.
    16Safiullin R.Ruud C. (8)
    17Tiafoe F. (7)TBD #34
    18TBD #35Norrie C. (31)
    19Tsitsipas S. (23)TBD #38
    20TBD #39De Minaur A. (9)
    21Cobolli F. (13)TBD #42
    22TBD #43Auger-Aliassime F. (21)
    23Nakashima B. (25)TBD #46
    24TBD #47Shelton B. (4)
    25Rublev A. (6)TBD #50
    26TBD #51Sonego L. (28)
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (20)TBD #54
    28TBD #55Mensik J. (12)
    29Fils A. (15)TBD #58
    30TBD #59Lehecka J. (19)
    31Diallo G. (27)TBD #62
    32TBD #63Fritz T. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2