Shintaro Mochizuki vs Roberto Carballes Baena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
15/02/2026 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Doha - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
82
1st serve percentage
56%71%
1st serve points won
48% (14/29)70% (21/30)
2nd serve points won
35% (8/23)67% (8/12)
Break Points Saved
40% (4/10)83% (5/6)
1st return points won
37% (11/30)52% (15/29)
2nd return points won
33% (4/12)65% (15/23)
Break Points Converted
17% (1/6)60% (6/10)
Winners
95
Unforced errors
4211
Net points won
45% (9/20)0% (0/1)
Service Points Won
42% (22/52)69% (29/42)
Return Points Won
31% (13/42)58% (30/52)
Total Points Won
37% (35/94)63% (59/94)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
25% (2/8)86% (6/7)
Return games won
14% (1/7)75% (6/8)
Total games won
20% (3/15)80% (12/15)

Chances of winning


Shintaro Mochizuki
41.5%
Roberto Carballes Baena
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 44.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.
  • Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shintaro Mochizuki - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (1.9)

    1.6
    (1.9)
    6.9%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Shintaro Mochizuki - Roberto Carballes Baena?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mochizuki (votes: 1 - 50%). Carballes Baena (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 115. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 175.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Mochizuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    2Royer V.Herbert P. (Q)2 : 0
    3Fucsovics M.Habib H. (WC)2 : 0
    4Mochizuki S.Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (4)Shang J. (PR)2 : 0
    6Echargui M. (WC)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    7Humbert U.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    8De Jong J.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    9Lehecka J. (8)Brooksby J.2 : 0
    10Bergs Z.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    11Fils A.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    12Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Halys Q. (LL)1 : 2
    13Mensik J. (6)Choinski J. (Q)2 : 1
    14Zhang Z. (PR)Carballes Baena R. (Q)2 : 0
    15Zayid M. S. (WC)Popyrin A.0 : 2
    16Machac T.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Royer V.2 : 0
    2Fucsovics M.Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (4)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    4Marozsan F.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5Lehecka J. (8)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    6Fils A.Halys Q.2 : 0
    7Mensik J. (6)Zhang Z.2 : 0
    8Popyrin A.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Khachanov K. (7)2 : 1
    2Tsitsipas S.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3Lehecka J. (8)Fils A.0 : 2
    4Mensik J. (6)Sinner J. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rublev A. (5)2 : 0
    2Fils A.Mensik J. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fils A.2 : 0