Shintaro Mochizuki vs Roman Andres Burruchaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/08/2025 at 15:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY).

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max

Match Stats


Aces
2	0
Double Faults
3	2
1st Serve Percentage
52%	65%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (23/38)	66% (38/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
49% (17/35)	42% (13/31)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/5)	44% (4/9)
1st Return Points Won
38% (22/58)	42% (16/38)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (18/31)	60% (21/35)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)	100% (5/5)
Service Points Won
54% (39/72)	56% (49/87)
Return Points Won
44% (38/87)	46% (33/72)
Total Points Won
48% (77/159)	52% (82/159)
Last 10 Balls
8	2
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
62% (8/13)	64% (9/14)
Return Games Won
36% (5/14)	38% (5/13)
Total Games Won
48% (13/27)	52% (14/27)

Chances of winning

Shintaro Mochizuki
58.9%

Roman Andres Burruchaga
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Roman Andres Burruchaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Shintaro Mochizuki - Roman Andres Burruchaga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.65)		2.29 ↑ (2.26)	6.2% (4.9%)

What is the prediction for Shintaro Mochizuki - Roman Andres Burruchaga?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Burruchaga will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mochizuki: 35.9% – 97.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Burruchaga (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 112. Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 144.
Mochizuki is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Burruchaga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Mochizuki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Mochizuki might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mochizuki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Shintaro Mochizuki won against Roman Andres Burruchaga?

Shintaro Mochizuki has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Roman Andres Burruchaga won against Shintaro Mochizuki?

Roman Andres Burruchaga has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shintaro Mochizuki - Roman Andres Burruchaga were as follows:

30.04.2025 Roman Andres Burruchaga - Shintaro Mochizuki 2:0

21.08.2024 Shintaro Mochizuki - Roman Andres Burruchaga 2:0

Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki

19.08.2025 Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov 2:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Shintaro Mochizuki - Alexander Shevchenko 1:2 ✺

15.08.2025 Shintaro Mochizuki - Filip Misolic 2:1 ✺

14.08.2025 Shintaro Mochizuki - Karl Poling 2:0 ✺

12.08.2025 Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Rybakov 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Roman Andres Burruchaga

19.08.2025 Roman Andres Burruchaga - Justin Engel 2:1 ✺

14.08.2025 Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1:2 ✺

14.08.2025 Dusan Lajovic - Roman Andres Burruchaga Lajovic D. retired ✺

25.07.2025 Roman Andres Burruchaga - Marc-Andrea Huesler 0:2 ✺

22.07.2025 Dominic Stephan Stricker - Roman Andres Burruchaga 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Kopriva V.	3 : 0
2	Popyrin A.	Ruusuvuori E.	3 : 0
3	Royer V. (WC)	Bu Y.	3 : 0
4	Fucsovics M.	Shapovalov D. (27)	0 : 3
5	Bublik A. (23)	Cilic M.	3 : 0
6	Sonego L.	Schoolkate T. (WC)	2 : 3
7	Borges N.	Holt B.	3 : 0
8	Moller E.	Paul T. (14)	0 : 3
9	Musetti L. (10)	Mpetshi Perricard G.	3 : 1
10	Halys Q.	Goffin D.	1 : 3
11	Brooksby J.	Vukic A.	3 : 2
12	Passaro F. (Q)	Cobolli F. (24)	2 : 3
13	Diallo G. (31)	Dzumhur D.	3 : 1
14	Munar J.	Faria J. (LL)	3 : 1
15	Bergs Z.	Tseng C. H.	3 : 0
16	Gomez F. A. (Q)	Draper J. (5)	1 : 3
17	Zverev A. (3)	Tabilo A.	3 : 0
18	Bautista-Agut R.	Fearnley J.	1 : 3
19	Monfils G.	Safiullin R.	2 : 3
20	Harris B. (LL)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	0 : 3
21	Humbert U. (22)	Walton A.	1 : 3
22	Kovacevic A.	Wong C. (Q)	0 : 3
23	Duckworth J. (LL)	Boyer T. (WC)	0 : 3
24	Prizmic D. (Q)	Rublev A. (15)	0 : 3
25	Khachanov K. (9)	Basavareddy N. (WC)	3 : 1
26	Dellien H.	Majchrzak K.	1 : 3
27	Riedi L. (Q)	Martinez P.	3 : 0
28	Arnaldi M.	Cerundolo F. (19)	2 : 3
29	Tsitsipas S. (26)	Muller A.	3 : 1
30	Altmaier D.	Medjedovic H.	3 : 2
31	Gaston H.	Mochizuki S. (Q)	0 : 3
32	O'Connell C.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
33	Djokovic N. (7)	Tien L.	3 : 0
34	Svajda Z. (Q)	Piros Z. (Q)	3 : 0
35	Norrie C.	Korda S. (RET.)	2 : 0
36	Comesana F.	Michelsen A. (28)	3 : 1
37	Tiafoe F. (17)	Nishioka Y.	3 : 0
38	Damm M. (Q)	Blanch Dar. (WC)	3 : 0
39	Struff J-L. (Q)	McDonald M.	3 : 1
40	Van De Zandschulp B.	Rune H. (11)	0 : 3
41	Mensik J. (16)	Jarry N.	3 : 0
42	Blanchet U. (Q)	Marozsan F.	3 : 1
43	Fonseca J.	Kecmanovic M.	3 : 0
44	Nardi L.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
45	Nakashima B. (30)	De Jong J. (Q)	3 : 2
46	Kym J. (Q)	Quinn E.	3 : 1
47	Baez S.	Harris L. (Q)	0 : 3
48	Nava E. (WC)	Fritz T. (4)	0 : 3
49	Shelton B. (6)	Buse I. (Q)	3 : 0
50	Carreno-Busta P.	Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)	3 : 0
51	Thompson J.	Moutet C.	3 : 1
52	Mannarino A.	Griekspoor T. (29)	3 : 0
53	Lehecka J. (20)	Coric B.	3 : 1
54	Ugo Carabelli C.	Etcheverry T. M.	0 : 3
55	Galan D. E. (Alt)	Collignon R.	0 : 3
56	Ofner S.	Ruud C. (12)	0 : 3
57	Medvedev D. (13)	Bonzi B.	2 : 3
58	Navone M.	Giron M.	2 : 3
59	Carballes Baena R.	Rinderknech A.	1 : 3
60	Shevchenko A.	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	0 : 3
61	Darderi L. (32)	Hijikata R.	3 : 0
62	Dostanic S. (WC)	Spizzirri E. (WC)	0 : 3
63	Bellucci M.	Shang J. (RET.)	2 : 1
64	Opelka R.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Popyrin A.	3 : 0
2	Royer V.	Shapovalov D. (27)	1 : 3
3	Bublik A. (23)	Schoolkate T.	3 : 0
4	Borges N.	Paul T. (14)	2 : 3
5	Musetti L. (10)	Goffin D.	3 : 0
6	Brooksby J.	Cobolli F. (24)	2 : 3
7	Diallo G. (31)	Munar J.	0 : 3
8	Bergs Z. (WO.)	Draper J. (5)
9	Zverev A. (3)	Fearnley J.	3 : 0
10	Safiullin R.	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	0 : 3
11	Walton A.	Wong C.	1 : 3
12	Boyer T.	Rublev A. (15)	1 : 3
13	Khachanov K. (9)	Majchrzak K.	2 : 3
14	Riedi L.	Cerundolo F. (19)	3 : 2
15	Tsitsipas S. (26)	Altmaier D.	2 : 3
16	Mochizuki S.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
17	Djokovic N. (7)	Svajda Z.	3 : 1
18	Norrie C.	Comesana F.	3 : 1
19	Tiafoe F. (17)	Damm M.	3 : 1
20	Struff J-L.	Rune H. (11)	3 : 2
21	Mensik J. (16)	Blanchet U.	2 : 3
22	Fonseca J.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
23	Nakashima B. (30)	Kym J.	2 : 3
24	Harris L.	Fritz T. (4)	1 : 3
25	Shelton B. (6)	Carreno-Busta P.	3 : 0
26	Thompson J.	Mannarino A.	1 : 3
27	Lehecka J. (20)	Etcheverry T. M.	3 : 1
28	Collignon R.	Ruud C. (12)	3 : 2
29	Bonzi B.	Giron M.	3 : 2
30	Rinderknech A.	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	3 : 2
31	Darderi L. (32)	Spizzirri E.	3 : 1
32	Bellucci M.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Shapovalov D. (27)	3 : 1
2	Bublik A. (23)	Paul T. (14)	3 : 2
3	Musetti L. (10)	Cobolli F. (RET.) (24)	2 : 0
4	Munar J.	Bergs Z.	3 : 0
5	Zverev A. (3)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	1 : 3
6	Wong C.	Rublev A. (15)	2 : 3
7	Majchrzak K. (RET.)	Riedi L.	0 : 0
8	Altmaier D. (RET.)	De Minaur A. (8)	1 : 2
9	Djokovic N. (7)	Norrie C.	3 : 1
10	Tiafoe F. (17)	Struff J-L.	0 : 3
11	Blanchet U.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
12	Kym J.	Fritz T. (4)	1 : 3
13	Shelton B. (RET.) (6)	Mannarino A.	2 : 2
14	Lehecka J. (20)	Collignon R.	3 : 0
15	Bonzi B.	Rinderknech A.	1 : 3
16	Darderi L. (32)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/8-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Bublik A. (23)	3 : 0
2	Musetti L. (10)	Munar J.	3 : 0
3	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	Rublev A. (15)	3 : 0
4	Riedi L.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
5	Djokovic N. (7)	Struff J-L.	3 : 0
6	Machac T. (21)	Fritz T. (4)	0 : 3
7	Mannarino A.	Lehecka J. (20)	1 : 3
8	Rinderknech A.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Quarter-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Musetti L. (10)	3 : 0
2	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	De Minaur A. (8)	3 : 1
3	Djokovic N. (7)	Fritz T. (4)	3 : 1
4	Lehecka J. (20)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Semi-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	3 : 1
2	Djokovic N. (7)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Final

1

Sinner J. (1)

Alcaraz C. (2)

1 : 3