Result
4:1 ET
28/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.33 | 1.01 |
Ball Possession |
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59% | 41% |
Total shots |
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32 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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12 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 5 |
Passes |
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80% (462/581) | 77% (314/407) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.33 | 1.01 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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3.73 | 0.66 |
Total shots |
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32 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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12 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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11 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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9 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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15 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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17 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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38 | 27 |
Accurate through passes |
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2 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 16 |
Passes |
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80% (462/581) | 77% (314/407) |
Long passes |
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55% (57/104) | 52% (42/81) |
Passes in final third |
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69% (127/183) | 60% (87/144) |
Crosses |
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32% (9/28) | 5% (1/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.72 | 0.54 |
Throw-ins |
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25 | 38 |
Fouls |
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16 | 12 |
Tackles |
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61% (17/28) | 73% (19/26) |
Duels won |
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91 | 60 |
Clearances |
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45 | 47 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 19 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
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0.66 | 3.73 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.34 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Kurtulus E. ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 0, Chochev I. ⚽, Duarte D. (A),
- 26', Latifi L. 🟨,
- 26', Ibraimi B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 64', 2 - 1, Tamba F. ⚽, Ibraimi B. (A),
- 66', Zejnullai A. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
- 68', Duarte D. ↓, Stanic P. ↑,
- 74', Machado M. ↓, Bile E. ↑,
- 74', Chochev I. ↓, Kaloc F. ↑,
- 82', Krasniqi E. 🟨,
- 83', Caio Vidal ↓, Tekpetey B. ↑,
- 90', Latifi L. ↓, Krstevski V. ↑,
- Extra Time (2 - 0)
- 91', Nedyalkov A. ↓, Yordanov I. ↑,
- 95', Erick Marcus 🟨,
- 98', 3 - 1, Tekpetey B. ⚽, Kaloc F. (A),
- 106', Alhassan A. ↓, Qaka K. ↑,
- 106', Webster R. ↓, Murati M. ↑,
- 107', Erick Marcus ↓, Ivanov S. ↑,
- 112', Tamba F. ↓, Ramadani F. ↑,
- 112', Cake K. ↓, Ademi F. ↑,
- 120+2', 4 - 1, Bile E. ⚽, Tekpetey B. (A),
Chances of winning
Ludogorets Razgrad 72.1% | Draw 18.1% | Shkendija Tetovo 9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ludogorets Razgrad's performance.Shkendija Tetovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ludogorets Razgrad that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shkendija Tetovo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Ludogorets Razgrad - Shkendija Tetovo Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.31 ↓ (1.4) |
5.29 ↑ (3.69) |
9.95 ↑ (7.5) |
5.4% (11.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ludogorets Razgrad - Shkendija Tetovo?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 21 - 84%). Shkendija will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 69.6% – 98.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 6 - 100%).
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ludogorets Razgrad will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
- Ludogorets has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shkendija is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Shkendija may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ludogorets is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ludogorets won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ludogorets Razgrad won against Shkendija Tetovo?
Ludogorets Razgrad has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shkendija Tetovo won against Ludogorets Razgrad?
Shkendija Tetovo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ludogorets Razgrad - Shkendija Tetovo were as follows:
21.08.2025
Shkendija Tetovo
-
Ludogorets Razgrad
2:1
Latest results of Ludogorets Razgrad
Latest results of Shkendija Tetovo
Draw
Qualification1/8-finals1 | Hamrun | Bye | |
4 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
8 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
9 | Shkendija | Bye | |
16 | Bye | Ludogorets | |
17 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
24 | Bye | Young Boys | |
25 | Malmo FF | Bye | |
32 | Bye | Sigma Olomouc | |
33 | Panathinaikos | Bye | |
35 | Besiktas | Bye | |
36 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Ilves | 0 : 0, 6 : 0 |
40 | Bye | Samsunspor | |
41 | Aberdeen | Bye | |
45 | FCSB | Bye | |
48 | Bye | Drita | |
49 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
56 | Bye | Genk | |
57 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
59 | Midtjylland | Bye | |
60 | Bye | Hibernian | |
61 | RFS | Bye | |
64 | Bye | KuPS | |
65 | Lincoln Red Imps | Bye | |
68 | Bye | Noah | |
69 | Lugano | Bye | |
70 | Paks | CFR Cluj | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
71 | Levski Sofia | H. Beer Sheva | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
72 | Bye | Braga | |
73 | Zrinjski | Bye | |
76 | Bye | Breidablik | |
77 | Servette | Bye | |
79 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Prishtina | 1 : 2, 4 : 0 |
80 | Bye | Utrecht | |
81 | Anderlecht | Bye | |
82 | Trnava | Hacken | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
84 | Bye | Brann | |
85 | Sabah Baku | Celje | 3 : 3, 2 : 3 |
86 | AEK Larnaca | Partizan | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
87 | Ostrava | Bye | |
88 | Legia | Aktobe | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
89 | Rijeka | Bye | |
92 | Bye | Shelbourne | |
93 | PAOK | Bye | |
96 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
Quarter-finals1 | Hamrun | Bye | |
2 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
4 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
5 | Shkendija | Bye | |
8 | Bye | Ludogorets | |
9 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
12 | Bye | Young Boys | |
13 | Malmo FF | Bye | |
16 | Bye | Sigma Olomouc | |
17 | Panathinaikos | Bye | |
18 | Besiktas | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 : 2, 2 : 4 |
20 | Bye | Samsunspor | |
21 | Aberdeen | Bye | |
23 | FCSB | Bye | |
24 | Bye | Drita | |
25 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
28 | Bye | Genk | |
29 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
30 | Midtjylland | Hibernian | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
31 | RFS | Bye | |
32 | Bye | KuPS | |
33 | Lincoln Red Imps | Bye | |
34 | Bye | Noah | |
35 | Lugano | CFR Cluj | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
36 | Levski Sofia | Braga | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
37 | Zrinjski | Bye | |
38 | Bye | Breidablik | |
39 | Servette | Bye | |
40 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Utrecht | 1 : 4, 1 : 3 |
41 | Anderlecht | Hacken | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
42 | Bye | Brann | |
43 | Celje | AEK Larnaca | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
44 | Ostrava | Legia | 1 : 2, 2 : 2 |
45 | Rijeka | Bye | |
46 | Bye | Shelbourne | |
47 | PAOK | Bye | |
48 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
Semi-finals1 | Hamrun | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 3, 1 : 2 |
2 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
3 | Shkendija | Bye | |
4 | Bye | Ludogorets | |
5 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
6 | Bye | Young Boys | |
7 | Malmo FF | Bye | |
8 | Bye | Sigma Olomouc | |
9 | Panathinaikos | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
10 | Bye | Samsunspor | |
11 | Aberdeen | Bye | |
12 | FCSB | Drita | 3 : 1, 3 : 2 |
13 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
14 | Bye | Genk | |
15 | Fredrikstad | Midtjylland | 0 : 2, 1 : 3 |
16 | RFS | KuPS | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
17 | Lincoln Red Imps | Noah | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
18 | CFR Cluj | Braga | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
19 | Zrinjski | Breidablik | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
20 | Servette | Utrecht | 1 : 2, 1 : 3 |
21 | Hacken | Brann | 1 : 0, 0 : 2 |
22 | AEK Larnaca | Legia | 1 : 2, 4 : 1 |
23 | Rijeka | Shelbourne | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
24 | PAOK | Wolfsberger AC | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
Final1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 1, 3 : 1 |
2 | Shkendija | Ludogorets | 1 : 4, 2 : 1 |
3 | Slovan Bratislava | Young Boys | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
4 | Malmo FF | Sigma Olomouc | 2 : 0, 3 : 0 |
5 | Panathinaikos | Samsunspor | 0 : 0, 2 : 1 |
6 | Aberdeen | FCSB | 0 : 3, 2 : 2 |
7 | Lech Poznan | Genk | 2 : 1, 1 : 5 |
8 | Midtjylland | KuPS | 2 : 0, 4 : 0 |
9 | Lincoln Red Imps | Braga | 1 : 5, 0 : 4 |
10 | Zrinjski | Utrecht | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
11 | Brann | AEK Larnaca | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
12 | Rijeka | PAOK | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |