Result
4:1 ET
28/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 2.33 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
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| 32 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 12 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
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| 80% (462/581) | 77% (314/407) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 2.33 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 3.73 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
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| 32 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 12 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 9 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 17 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 38 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
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| 80% (462/581) | 77% (314/407) |
| Long passes |
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| 55% (57/104) | 52% (42/81) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 69% (127/183) | 60% (87/144) |
| Crosses |
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| 32% (9/28) | 5% (1/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.72 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 25 | 38 |
| Fouls |
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| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
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| 61% (17/28) | 73% (19/26) |
| Duels won |
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| 91 | 60 |
| Clearances |
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| 45 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.66 | 3.73 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.34 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Kurtulus E. ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 0, Chochev I. ⚽, Duarte D. (A),
- 26', Latifi L. 🟨,
- 26', Ibraimi B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 64', 2 - 1, Tamba F. ⚽, Ibraimi B. (A),
- 66', Zejnullai A. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
- 68', Duarte D. ↓, Stanic P. ↑,
- 74', Machado M. ↓, Bile E. ↑,
- 74', Chochev I. ↓, Kaloc F. ↑,
- 82', Krasniqi E. 🟨,
- 83', Caio Vidal ↓, Tekpetey B. ↑,
- 90', Latifi L. ↓, Krstevski V. ↑,
- Extra Time (2 - 0)
- 91', Nedyalkov A. ↓, Yordanov I. ↑,
- 95', Erick Marcus 🟨,
- 98', 3 - 1, Tekpetey B. ⚽, Kaloc F. (A),
- 106', Alhassan A. ↓, Qaka K. ↑,
- 106', Webster R. ↓, Murati M. ↑,
- 107', Erick Marcus ↓, Ivanov S. ↑,
- 112', Tamba F. ↓, Ramadani F. ↑,
- 112', Cake K. ↓, Ademi F. ↑,
- 120+2', 4 - 1, Bile E. ⚽, Tekpetey B. (A),
Chances of winning
Ludogorets Razgrad
72.1% | Draw
18.1% | Shkendija Tetovo
9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ludogorets Razgrad's performance.Shkendija Tetovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ludogorets Razgrad that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shkendija Tetovo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Ludogorets Razgrad - Shkendija Tetovo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.4) |
5.29 ↑
(3.69) |
9.95 ↑
(7.5) |
5.4%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ludogorets Razgrad - Shkendija Tetovo?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 21 - 84%). Shkendija will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 69.6% – 98.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- TQ, OT - Ludogorets (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ludogorets Razgrad will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Ludogorets (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Shkendija (votes: 2 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
- Ludogorets has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shkendija is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Shkendija may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ludogorets is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ludogorets won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ludogorets Razgrad won against Shkendija Tetovo?
Ludogorets Razgrad has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shkendija Tetovo won against Ludogorets Razgrad?
Shkendija Tetovo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ludogorets Razgrad - Shkendija Tetovo were as follows:
21.08.2025
Shkendija Tetovo
-
Ludogorets Razgrad
2:1
Latest results of Ludogorets Razgrad
Latest results of Shkendija Tetovo
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 2 |
| 3 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 4 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
