Qarabağ Agdam vs Shkendija Tetovo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Qarabağ Agdam - Shkendija Tetovo
Result
5:1
12/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
81
Corner Kicks
80
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
184
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
32
Corner Kicks
80
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
715
Throw-ins
2116
Fouls
117
Goalkeeper Saves
03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Tamba F. , Ibraimi B. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 1, Cake K. (Own goal),
  • 18', 2 - 1, Kady Borges , Zoubir A. (A),
  • 33', 3 - 1, Akhundzade N. , Zoubir A. (A),
  • 35', Qaka K. 🟨,
  • 35', 4 - 1, Jankovic M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Qaka K. , Krasniqi E. ,
  • 46', Latifi L. , Alhassan A. ,
  • 48', Alhassan A. 🟨,
  • 59', 5 - 1, Leandro Andrade , Cafarquliyev E. (A),
  • 63', Ibraimi B. , Ademi F. ,
  • 63', Mustafazada B. , Mmaee S. ,
  • 63', Matheus Silva , Dani Bolt ,
  • 63', Pedro Bicalho , Chriso ,
  • 70', Akhundzade N. , Qurbanly M. ,
  • 75', Tamba F. , Ramadani F. ,
  • 78', Leandro Andrade , Cabrayilzada H. ,
  • 84', Zejnullai A. , Kaba L. ,

Chances of winning


Qarabağ Agdam
68.6%
Draw
19.8%
Shkendija Tetovo
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 20.9% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66% 20.4% 11.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Shkendija Tetovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Shkendija Tetovo aligns with the current prediction.
  • Qarabağ Agdam - Shkendija Tetovo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.42)
    4.89
    (4.61)
    8.46
    (8.4)
    2%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Qarabağ Agdam - Shkendija Tetovo?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 25 - 78.1%). Shkendija will win (votes: 1 - 3.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 63.8%92.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - no (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.
    • In recent matches, Qarabağ has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shkendija is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Qarabağ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Shkendija has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Qarabağ is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Qarabağ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Qarabağ Agdam - Shkendija Tetovo were as follows:
    05.08.2025 Shkendija Tetovo - Qarabağ Agdam 0:1
    Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
    Latest results of Shkendija Tetovo
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticKairat Almaty
    5BaselFC Copenhagen
    6FenerbahceBenfica
    7RangersClub Brugge KV