Sho Shimabukuro vs Bernard Tomic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
08/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Dallas - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
55
Double Faults
01
1st serve percentage
64%74%
1st serve points won
82% (23/28)61% (31/51)
2nd serve points won
88% (14/16)44% (8/18)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)73% (8/11)
1st return points won
39% (20/51)18% (5/28)
2nd return points won
56% (10/18)13% (2/16)
Break Points Converted
27% (3/11)0% (0/1)
Winners
3110
Unforced errors
1918
Net points won
87% (13/15)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
84% (37/44)57% (39/69)
Return Points Won
43% (30/69)16% (7/44)
Total Points Won
59% (67/113)41% (46/113)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
01
Service games won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return games won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Sho Shimabukuro
62.7%
Bernard Tomic
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sho Shimabukuro's performance.
  • Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bernard Tomic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sho Shimabukuro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bernard Tomic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sho Shimabukuro - Bernard Tomic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.75)

    2.52
    (2.02)
    6.3%
    (6.6%)
    What is the prediction for Sho Shimabukuro - Bernard Tomic?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2.5 Games - Shimabukuro (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Sho Shimabukuro will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sho Shimabukuro will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Shimabukuro (votes: 12 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 141. Tomic is ranked ATP: 194.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Tomic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Shimabukuro could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Sho Shimabukuro
    Latest results of Bernard Tomic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Giron M.2 : 1
    2Nakashima B.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    3Zheng M. (WC)Korda S.0 : 2
    4Atmane T.Tiafoe F. (8)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F. (4)Pinnington Jones J. (Q)0 : 2
    6Duckworth J.Spizzirri E. (WC)0 : 2
    7Svajda T. (WC)Quinn E.0 : 2
    8Cilic M.Tien L. (6)2 : 0
    9Shapovalov D. (7)Jodar R. (Q)2 : 0
    10Kovacevic A.Kypson P. (LL)2 : 0
    11Dimitrov G.Michelsen A.1 : 2
    12Svajda Z. (Q)Davidovich Fokina A. (3)0 : 2
    13Paul T. (5)Brooksby J.2 : 1
    14Shimabukuro S. (Q)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    15Walton A.Mannarino A.0 : 2
    16Diallo G.Shelton B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    2Korda S.Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 0
    3Pinnington Jones J.Spizzirri E.2 : 1
    4Quinn E.Cilic M.0 : 2
    5Shapovalov D. (7)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    6Michelsen A.Davidovich Fokina A. (3)0 : 2
    7Paul T. (5)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    8Mannarino A.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Korda S.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Cilic M.0 : 2
    3Shapovalov D. (7)Davidovich Fokina A. (3)2 : 1
    4Kecmanovic M.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Shapovalov D. (7)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Fritz T. (1)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2