Sho Shimabukuro vs Marcos Giron – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
16/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Delray Beach, hard - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
portugalPortugalSport TV7
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
102
Double Faults
22
1st serve percentage
66%53%
1st serve points won
79% (31/39)70% (28/40)
2nd serve points won
35% (7/20)71% (25/35)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)100% (9/9)
1st return points won
33% (13/40)23% (9/39)
2nd return points won
29% (10/35)65% (13/20)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/9)40% (2/5)
Winners
2719
Unforced errors
3720
Net points won
78% (7/9)75% (9/12)
Service Points Won
63% (37/59)71% (53/75)
Return Points Won
29% (22/75)37% (22/59)
Total Points Won
44% (59/134)56% (75/134)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
80% (8/10)100% (11/11)
Return games won
0% (0/11)20% (2/10)
Total games won
38% (8/21)62% (13/21)

Chances of winning


Sho Shimabukuro
32.1%
Marcos Giron
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5% 75.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sho Shimabukuro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcos Giron could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sho Shimabukuro - Marcos Giron Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.95
    (3.28)

    1.4
    (1.33)
    5.4%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Sho Shimabukuro - Marcos Giron?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Giron will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Giron: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marcos Giron will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 144. Giron is ranked ATP: 59.
    • Shimabukuro is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Giron has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Giron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Giron is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Sho Shimabukuro
    Latest results of Marcos Giron
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Bye
    2Quinn E.Jodar R. (NG)0 : 2
    3Walton A. (LL)Diallo G.2 : 0
    4Moutet C.Paul T. (5)1 : 2
    5Tien L. (4)Bye
    6Kecmanovic M.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    7Kovacevic A.Svajda Z. (Q)0 : 2
    8Hijikata R. (Q)Tiafoe F. (8)0 : 2
    9Nakashima B. (7)Cilic M.2 : 0
    10Borges N.Wong C. (Q)1 : 2
    11Kypson P. (WC)Atmane T.1 : 2
    12ByeCobolli F. (3)
    13Vacherot V. (6)Michelsen A.0 : 2
    14Korda S.McDonald M. (WC)2 : 0
    15Shimabukuro S. (Q)Giron M.0 : 2
    16ByeRuud C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Jodar R.2 : 0
    2Walton A.Paul T. (5)0 : 2
    3Tien L. (4)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    4Svajda Z.Tiafoe F. (8)1 : 2
    5Nakashima B. (7)Wong C.0 : 2
    6Atmane T.Cobolli F. (3)0 : 2
    7Michelsen A.Korda S.0 : 2
    8Giron M.Ruud C. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Paul T. (5)0 : 2
    2Tien L. (4)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 1
    3Wong C.Cobolli F. (3)1 : 2
    4Korda S.Ruud C. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Paul T. (5)Tien L. (4)2 : 1
    2Cobolli F. (3)Korda S.0 : 2

    Final
    1Paul T. (5)Korda S.0 : 2