Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Sagan Tosu - Shonan Bellmare
Result
1:2
31/08/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
1014
Shots on Goal
25
Shots off Goal
89
Free Kicks
2118
Corner Kicks
30
Offsides
23
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Fouls
1617
Yellow Cards
14
Total Passes
529429
Completed Passes
406328
Tackles
1321
Attacks
11382
Dangerous Attacks
4540
Clearances Completed
1420
Crosses Completed
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Suzuki A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Sakaiya K. , Kubo T. ,
  • 46', Suzuki A. , Fukuda S. ,
  • 46', Onose K. 🟨,
  • 58', Lukian 🟨,
  • 62', Terayama T. , Nishiya K. ,
  • 62', Fukuta A. , Hino S. ,
  • 63', Barada A. , Okuno K. ,
  • 64', Suzuki J. 🟨,
  • 68', Fukuda S. 🟨,
  • 70', Narahara Y. , Maruhashi Y. ,
  • 79', Nakahara H. , Kiyotake H. ,
  • 80', Okamoto T. , Hata T. ,
  • 81', Suzuki J. , Matsumura S. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Kimura S. , Nishiya K. (A),
  • 87', 1 - 2, Fukuda S. , Tanaka S. (A),
  • 89', Ikeda M. , Phellype L. ,
  • 90', Harada W. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sagan Tosu
29.1%
Draw
26.3%
Shonan Bellmare
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30% 26.4% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 25.5% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Sagan Tosu - Shonan Bellmare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.24
    (3.18)
    3.58
    (3.61)
    2.1
    (2.19)
    6.3%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shonan Bellmare: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tosu won 1.
    • Tosu has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Shonan Bellmare is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Tosu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Shonan Bellmare will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tosu won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22-27.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-14.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    06.05.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Sagan Tosu 2:1
    24.06.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Sagan Tosu 0:6
    18.02.2023 Sagan Tosu - Shonan Bellmare 1:5
    29.10.2022 Shonan Bellmare - Sagan Tosu 3:0
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers34206852:282466
    2Kashiwa Reysol341712553:332063
    3Kyoto341710758:362261
    4Vissel Kobe34187943:281561
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima34178939:231659
    6Kawasaki Frontale341511865:481756
    7Machida341681049:351456
    8Urawa Reds3414101040:36452
    9Gamba Osaka341551446:52-650
    10Cerezo Osaka3412101252:50246
    11FC Tokyo341191436:46-1042
    12Verdy341191422:35-1342
    13Avispa Fukuoka3410111332:37-541
    14Shimizu S-Pulse3410111338:44-641
    15Okayama341181530:37-741
    16Nagoya Grampus3410101442:50-840
    17Yokohama F. Marinos34971836:44-834
    18Yokohama FC34881823:39-1632
    19Shonan Bellmare34682029:58-2926
    20Albirex Niigata344102030:56-2622

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          Relegation ~ J2 League