Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
31/08/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
1014
Shots on Goal
25
Shots off Goal
89
Free Kicks
2118
Corner Kicks
30
Offsides
23
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Fouls
1617
Yellow Cards
14
Total Passes
529429
Completed Passes
406328
Tackles
1321
Attacks
11382
Dangerous Attacks
4540
Clearances Completed
1420
Crosses Completed
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Suzuki A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Sakaiya K. , Kubo T. ,
  • 46', Suzuki A. , Fukuda S. ,
  • 46', Onose K. 🟨,
  • 58', Lukian 🟨,
  • 62', Terayama T. , Nishiya K. ,
  • 62', Fukuta A. , Hino S. ,
  • 63', Barada A. , Okuno K. ,
  • 64', Suzuki J. 🟨,
  • 68', Fukuda S. 🟨,
  • 70', Narahara Y. , Maruhashi Y. ,
  • 79', Nakahara H. , Kiyotake H. ,
  • 80', Okamoto T. , Hata T. ,
  • 81', Suzuki J. , Matsumura S. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Kimura S. , Nishiya K. (A),
  • 87', 1 - 2, Fukuda S. , Tanaka S. (A),
  • 89', Ikeda M. , Phellype L. ,
  • 90', Harada W. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sagan Tosu
29.1%
Draw
26.3%
Shonan Bellmare
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30% 26.4% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 25.5% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Sagan Tosu - Shonan Bellmare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.24
    (3.18)
    3.58
    (3.61)
    2.1
    (2.19)
    6.3%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shonan Bellmare: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tosu won 1.
    • Tosu has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Shonan Bellmare is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Tosu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Shonan Bellmare will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tosu won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22-27.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-14.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    06.05.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Sagan Tosu 2:1
    24.06.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Sagan Tosu 0:6
    18.02.2023 Sagan Tosu - Shonan Bellmare 1:5
    29.10.2022 Shonan Bellmare - Sagan Tosu 3:0
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers141012123:1034
    2FC Tokyo14832129:1332
    3Machida13542221:2025
    4Verdy13630420:1624
    5Kawasaki Frontale14521620:2520
    6Urawa Reds14503620:1918
    7Mito14244421:2818
    8Yokohama F. Marinos14501821:2616
    9Kashiwa Reysol143101016:2111
    10Chiba14203913:269


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe13713223:1826
    2Gamba Osaka15453328:2125
    3Nagoya Grampus14623325:2025
    4Cerezo Osaka14441517:1421
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima14521621:1920
    6Shimizu S-Pulse14424418:1920
    7Okayama14424418:2420
    8Kyoto13431520:1819
    9Avispa Fukuoka15333618:2718
    10V-Varen Nagasaki14501814:2216

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
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          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)