Barnsley vs Shrewsbury Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One
Result
1:2
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 45
  • Referee: Tallis S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.21
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
255
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
87% (505/583)68% (178/263)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.21
xG on target (xGOT)
1.181.77
Total shots
255
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
100
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
131
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
319
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
109
Passes
87% (505/583)68% (178/263)
Long passes
54% (26/48)36% (26/72)
Passes in final third
79% (188/238)47% (30/64)
Crosses
31% (10/32)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.261.31
Throw-ins
3015
Fouls
910
Tackles
67% (6/9)50% (8/16)
Duels won
4644
Clearances
1337
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.771.18
Goals prevented
-0.230.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Marquis J. ⚽, Hoole L. (A),
  • 29', Nurse G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lembikisa D. ↓, Watters M. ↑,
  • 63', Connell L. ↓, Nwakali K. ↑,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Marquis J. ⚽, Stewart C. (A),
  • 78', 1 - 2, Russell J. ⚽,
  • 79', Stewart C. ↓, Perry T. ↑,
  • 83', Lloyd G. ↓, Oliver V. ↑,
  • 90+2', Nurse G. ↓, Pierre A. ↑,

Chances of winning


Barnsley
63.4%		Draw
21.8%		Shrewsbury Town
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 21.7% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 16.2% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-18.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnsley that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Barnsley - Shrewsbury Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.49 ↓
    (1.54)    		 4.36 ↑
    (4.29)    		 6.27 ↑
    (5.23)    		 5.8%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Barnsley - Shrewsbury Town?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Shrewsbury will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 50.5% – 99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Shrewsbury is Relegated to League Two
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 4.
    • Barnsley is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Shrewsbury has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Barnsley is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Barnsley: Farrugia N. (Inactive) Gent G. (Inactive) Smith J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Shrewsbury: Castledine L. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barnsley: Dyer J. (Inactive) Humphrys S. (Injury) Jalo F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Gape D. (Injury) Oliver V. (Injury) Shipley J. (Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:8 (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Shrewsbury Town - Barnsley 0:2
    13.02.2024 Shrewsbury Town - Barnsley 1:1
    24.10.2023 Barnsley - Shrewsbury Town 3:0
    10.04.2023 Barnsley - Shrewsbury Town 2:1
    12.11.2022 Shrewsbury Town - Barnsley 0:1
    Latest results of Barnsley
    21.04.2025 Barnsley - Peterborough United 1:1 ✺
    18.04.2025 Leyton Orient - Barnsley 4:3 ✺
    12.04.2025 Barnsley - Bolton Wanderers 4:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Birmingham City - Barnsley 6:2 ✺
    01.04.2025 Barnsley - Exeter City 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    21.04.2025 Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town 4:1 ✺
    18.04.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Wigan Athletic 0:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town 1:1 ✺
    08.04.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Reading 1:3 ✺
    05.04.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Cambridge United 0:1 ✺
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff34226668:363272
    2Lincoln34218563:313271
    3Bolton351613650:341661
    4Bradford City341771043:38558
    5Stockport County341681047:43456
    6Wycombe3514111050:361453
    7Huddersfield351571355:46952
    8Reading341312950:44651
    9Stevenage331491037:35251
    10Luton341381343:41247
    11Peterborough351441750:49146
    12Plymouth341441649:50-146
    13Barnsley321281253:54-144
    14AFC Wimbledon331271441:48-743
    15Exeter341191439:40-142
    16Mansfield3310111239:37241
    17Burton3510101539:50-1140
    18Doncaster331161636:55-1939
    19Wigan339101435:46-1137
    20Blackpool341071740:54-1437
    21Leyton Orient331061744:56-1236
    22Rotherham34981733:47-1435
    23Northampton35981831:47-1635
    24Port Vale32691726:44-1827

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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