Lincoln City vs Shrewsbury Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

LNER stadium (Lincoln).

League One - Round 42
Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.82	1.12
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
10	7
Passes
80% (324/405)	69% (199/287)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82	1.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.90	1.16
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
10	7
Touches in opposition box
28	16
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
10	12
Passes
80% (324/405)	69% (199/287)
Long passes
31% (14/45)	40% (26/65)
Passes in final third
63% (74/118)	48% (30/63)
Crosses
15% (5/34)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.04	0.53
Fouls
12	10
Tackles
73% (11/15)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
52	50
Clearances Total
20	41
Interceptions
10	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.16	0.90
Goals prevented
0.16	-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Bayliss T. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Pierre A. ⚽, Lloyd G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Ring E. ↓, House B. ↑,
68', McGrandles C. ↓, Erhahon E. ↑,
68', Gardner J. ↓, Okoro Z. ↑,
77', Perry T. ↓, Wheeler D. ↑,
78', Nurse G. ↓, Benning M. ↑,
81', Collins J. ↓, Hamer T. ↑,
81', Montsma L. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
85', Gape D. 🟨,
90+1', Hoole L. ↓, Nsiala A. ↑,
90+1', Lloyd G. ↓, Stewart C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Lincoln City
60.7%

Draw
25%

Shrewsbury Town
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

22.9%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

21.9%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lincoln City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.49)	3.79 ↓ (4.09)	6.65 ↑ (6.61)	5.8% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lincoln City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 3.
Recent matches Lincoln is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Shrewsbury has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Shrewsbury could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Lincoln is certain favorite.
There will not play in Lincoln: Cadamarteri B. (Injury) Moylan J. (Injury)
There will not play in Shrewsbury: Castledine L. (Back Injury)
There are questionable in Lincoln: Erhahon E. (Inactive) Makama J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Oliver V. (Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.1:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Shrewsbury Town?

Lincoln City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Lincoln City?

Shrewsbury Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:

26.12.2024 Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City 1:0

27.02.2024 Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town 3:0

19.08.2023 Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City 0:1

07.05.2023 Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town 1:0

03.12.2022 Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City 2:0

Latest results of Lincoln City

05.04.2025 Charlton Athletic - Lincoln City 2:2 ✺

01.04.2025 Lincoln City - Huddersfield Town 1:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Lincoln City 1:0 ✺

22.03.2025 Lincoln City - Exeter City 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers 5:0 ✺

Latest results of Shrewsbury Town

08.04.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Reading 1:3 ✺

05.04.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Cambridge United 0:1 ✺

01.04.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Shrewsbury Town 0:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Birmingham City - Shrewsbury Town 4:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Burton Albion 0:2 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	34	22	6	6	68:36	32	72
2	Lincoln	34	21	8	5	63:31	32	71
3	Bolton	35	16	13	6	50:34	16	61
4	Bradford City	34	17	7	10	43:38	5	58
5	Stockport County	34	16	8	10	47:43	4	56
6	Wycombe	35	14	11	10	50:36	14	53
7	Huddersfield	35	15	7	13	55:46	9	52
8	Reading	34	13	12	9	50:44	6	51
9	Stevenage	33	14	9	10	37:35	2	51
10	Luton	34	13	8	13	43:41	2	47
11	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	50:49	1	46
12	Plymouth	34	14	4	16	49:50	-1	46
13	Barnsley	32	12	8	12	53:54	-1	44
14	AFC Wimbledon	33	12	7	14	41:48	-7	43
15	Exeter	34	11	9	14	39:40	-1	42
16	Mansfield	33	10	11	12	39:37	2	41
17	Burton	35	10	10	15	39:50	-11	40
18	Doncaster	33	11	6	16	36:55	-19	39
19	Wigan	33	9	10	14	35:46	-11	37
20	Blackpool	34	10	7	17	40:54	-14	37
21	Leyton Orient	33	10	6	17	44:56	-12	36
22	Rotherham	34	9	8	17	33:47	-14	35
23	Northampton	35	9	8	18	31:47	-16	35
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	26:44	-18	27

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two