Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 35
- Referee: Eley R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (197/310) | 64% (183/286) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (197/310) | 64% (183/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (19/67) | 34% (23/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (41/94) | 50% (57/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 54 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Farquharson P. ⚽, Pressley A. (A),
- 45+3', Hoole L. ↓, Stubbs S. ↑,
- 45+6', 1 - 1, Morgan I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Lloyd G. ↓, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↑,
- 60', Clucas S. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
- 61', Boyle W. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 2, Farquharson P. ⚽,
- 68', Perry T. ↓, Freeman N. ↑,
- 68', Benning M. ↓, Kabia I. ↑,
- 69', Kanu D. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
- 82', Lakin C. ↓, Clarke C. ↑,
- 83', Pressley A. ↓, Matt J. ↑,
- 85', Hornby S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ruffels J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Shrewsbury Town 40.5% | Draw 30.7% | Walsall 28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shrewsbury Town's performance.Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Walsall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shrewsbury Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Walsall could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shrewsbury Town - Walsall Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.32 ↓ (2.78) |
3.04 ↓ (3.07) |
3.23 ↑ (2.55) |
7% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury Town - Walsall?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shrewsbury (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Shrewsbury Town will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 17 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 1.
- Shrewsbury is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Walsall's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Shrewsbury may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Shrewsbury is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
Marquis J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Walsall: Hollman J.
(Inactive)
Williams H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Scully A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Walsall: Matt J.
(Inactive)
Roofe K.
(Inactive)
Weir E.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Shrewsbury will win today's game, with odds of 2.28.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Walsall?
Shrewsbury Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Walsall won against Shrewsbury Town?
Walsall has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shrewsbury Town - Walsall were as follows:
13.12.2025
Walsall
-
Shrewsbury Town
1:1
02.09.2025
Shrewsbury Town
-
Walsall
1:3
12.11.2024
Walsall
-
Shrewsbury Town
3:0
14.11.2023
Shrewsbury Town
-
Walsall
3:2
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
Latest results of Walsall
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League