Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Merida, hard - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 3 |
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 France | beIN Sports 3 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Greece | Nova Sports 6 |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports Premium |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 74% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 62% (38/61) | 49% (42/86) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 51% (19/37) | 50% (15/30) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 56% (10/18) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 51% (44/86) | 38% (23/61) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 50% (15/30) | 49% (18/37) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 33% (4/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (58/99) | 49% (57/116) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (59/116) | 41% (41/99) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (117/215) | 46% (98/215) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 47% (7/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 29% (4/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 62% (18/29) | 38% (11/29) |
Chances of winning
Magdalena Frech
45% | Shuai Zhang
55% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Magdalena Frech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Magdalena Frech's form might have worsened.Shuai Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shuai Zhang's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdalena Frech than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shuai Zhang than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Magdalena Frech - Shuai Zhang Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.79) |
|
1.74 ↓
(2.05) |
4.8%
(4.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Magdalena Frech - Shuai Zhang?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Frech will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Zhang will win (votes: 9 - 45%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frech: 33.2% – 76.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Magdalena Frech will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Frech is ranked WTA: 57. Zhang is ranked WTA: 86.
- Frech is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Zhang is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Frech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Frech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Magdalena Frech won against Shuai Zhang?
Magdalena Frech has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shuai Zhang won against Magdalena Frech?
Shuai Zhang has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Magdalena Frech - Shuai Zhang were as follows:
01.10.2024
Shuai Zhang
-
Magdalena Frech
2:0
28.05.2023
Shuai Zhang
-
Magdalena Frech
0:2
Latest results of Magdalena Frech
Latest results of Shuai Zhang
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Paolini J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Hon P. | Zarazua R. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Boulter K. (WC) | Haddad Maia B. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Osorio C. | Tjen J. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Li A. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Brace C. (Q) | Sonmez Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Bucsa C. | Vekic D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Stakusic M. (WC) | Yastremska D. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Bouzas Maneiro J. (7) | Watson H. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Frech M. | Timofeeva M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Arango E. | Potapova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Bouzkova M. (4) | |
| 13 | Linette M. (8) | Maria T. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q) | Putintseva Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Lepchenko V. (Q) | Zhang S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Navarro E. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Paolini J. (1) | Hon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Boulter K. | Osorio C. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Li A. (3) | Sonmez Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Bucsa C. | Stakusic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Bouzas Maneiro J. (7) | Frech M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Arango E. (RET.) | Bouzkova M. (4) | 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Linette M. (8) | Jimenez Kasintseva V. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Zhang S. | Navarro E. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Paolini J. (1) | Boulter K. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Sonmez Z. | Bucsa C. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Frech M. | Bouzkova M. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. | Zhang S. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Paolini J. (1) | Bucsa C. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Frech M. | Zhang S. | 2 : 1 |
Final
