Shunsuke Nakagawa vs Ryan Peniston – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/11/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Matsuyama, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
44
Double Faults
25
1st Serve Percentage
66%74%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (39/63)72% (49/68)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (16/32)58% (14/24)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)71% (5/7)
1st Return Points Won
28% (19/68)44% (28/63)
2nd Return Points Won
42% (10/24)50% (16/32)
Break Points Converted
29% (2/7)36% (4/11)
Service Points Won
59% (49/83)66% (55/83)
Return Points Won
34% (28/83)41% (34/83)
Total Points Won
46% (77/166)54% (89/166)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
62% (8/13)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)38% (5/13)
Total Games Won
41% (11/27)59% (16/27)

Chances of winning


Shunsuke Nakagawa
11.9%
Ryan Peniston
88.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.7% 80.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shunsuke Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shunsuke Nakagawa's form might have worsened.
  • Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ryan Peniston's recent form is better than expected.
  • Shunsuke Nakagawa - Ryan Peniston Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.6
    (4.66)

    1.06
    (1.15)
    7.5%
    (8.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 952. Peniston is ranked ATP: 194.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • Nakagawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Peniston is the obvious favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Shunsuke Nakagawa
    Latest results of Ryan Peniston
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Isomura K. (WC)2 : 1
    2Bouzige M. (RET.)Tokuda R.0 : 0
    3Sekulic P.Chung H.2 : 0
    4Takahashi Y.Noguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    5Crawford O. (3)Barton H.2 : 1
    6Huesler M.Katayama S. (WC)2 : 0
    7Basing M. (Q)Matsuda R. (Q)2 : 1
    8Kusuhara Y. (WC)Ferreira Silva F. (8)1 : 2
    9Kuzmanov D. (6)Ajdukovic D.0 : 2
    10Matsuda K. (Q)Shelbayh A.2 : 0
    11Shin S.Nakagawa S. (Q)1 : 2
    12Kumasaka T. (Q)Peniston R. (4)0 : 2
    13Shimabukuro S. (5)Mochizuki Y. (Q)2 : 0
    14Jones M.Johns G.1 : 2
    15Bigun K. (JR)Uchiyama Y.0 : 2
    16Shiraishi H.Grenier H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Tokuda R.2 : 0
    2Sekulic P.Noguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    3Crawford O. (3)Huesler M.2 : 0
    4Basing M.Ferreira Silva F. (8)0 : 2
    5Ajdukovic D.Matsuda K.2 : 1
    6Nakagawa S.Peniston R. (4)1 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S. (5)Johns G.2 : 0
    8Uchiyama Y.Grenier H. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Noguchi R. (7)2 : 1
    2Crawford O. (3)Ferreira Silva F. (8)1 : 2
    3Ajdukovic D.Peniston R. (4)1 : 2
    4Shimabukuro S. (5)Grenier H. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Ferreira Silva F. (8)2 : 0
    2Peniston R. (4)Shimabukuro S. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H. (1)Shimabukuro S. (5)2 : 1